Goodwyns Lodge, Flint Hill, Dorking, RH4 2HH

UPRN:10000000638Detached House3 bedsBuilt 1991-1995

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band FEPC: D (68)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

Goodwyns Lodge, Flint Hill, Dorking, RH4 2HH

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

today

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

16 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£637,000

£573k - £700kMedium

Estimate

£637k

Range

£573k – £700k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,950

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£1,950

Yield

4.07%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Goodwyns Lodge earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 71/100. Investment score 60/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (39/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)Defra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

71/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

60/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

13/ 100

Low

Walkability

39/ 100

Mixed

Transit & Bike

Transit 15Bike 25

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence1 independent sourceListing checked 5 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge2.5/15
claims [AVM +9.7% (MEDIUM), sold-comps +7.9%, £/sqft +7.9%] → measured edge +0.50pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10000000638· as of 13 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 6 comps, dispersion 16.3%· as of 3 Nov 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.1%; range width penalty ×0.74
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1950/mo (range 1750-2200)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -1,123/mo, -58% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 5 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 69 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 5 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.9/15
155 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£431,000£661,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£575,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,950/mo

Evidenced range £1,750-£2,200

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £192,550
Net cash flow: -£591/mo
Cash on cash: -3.7%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.00 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10000000638Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 6 comps, dispersion 16.3%Valuation edge · as of 3 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1950/mo (range 1750-2200)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 5 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 5 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1950/mo (range 1750-2200)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 69 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£637,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,950

Gross Yield4.07%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+0.5%

5y Growth+2.1%

10y Growth+2.4%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningLow
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0RH4 2HH

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

MO/2026/01583
01 - Crimson Maple - Reduce overall size of crown by 2 metres ( Previous Points )
Pending
MO/2026/01582
TPO/113/2/S T1: Sycamore which is heavily leaning to be felled to ground level.
Pending
MO/2026/01496
Non-material amendment to planning permission MO/2023/1765 to allow an amendment to the description by deleting the words ‘at lower ground floor level’.
Approved

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership53.1%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change-
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

7 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£35,341

Population Density-

Owner Occupied60%

Age Distribution

0-15 19%16-64 60%65+ 21%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

St John's Church of England Primary School
0.3 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Unified Academy
0.5 mi
Area grades2025
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
St Paul's CofE Primary School
0.6 mi
Inspected as St Paul's CofE (Aided) Primary School (URN 125171) on 11 Jun 2024
St Joseph's Catholic Primary School
0.7 mi
Inspected as St Joseph's Catholic Primary School (URN 125204) on 29 Mar 2023

3 of 10 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

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Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN