22 Mollyfair Close, Ryton, NE40 4UZ

UPRN:100000084365Flat/Maisonette1 bedsBuilt 1991-1995

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band AEPC: D (56)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 5mo ago

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

today

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

20 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£59,000

£56k - £62kHigh

Estimate

£59k

Range

£56k – £62k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£450

£400 - £450

Monthly

£450

Yield

9.31%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

22 Mollyfair Close earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 75/100. Investment score 64/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (56/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

75/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

64/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

12/ 100

Low

Walkability

56/ 100

Moderate

Transit & Bike

Transit 14Bike 38

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence1 independent sourceListing checked 4 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +1.7% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100000084365· as of 13 Oct 2026
Rental economics33.7/40
gross yield 9.3%; range width penalty ×0.98
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 450/mo (range 400-450)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -44/mo, -10% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 4 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 113 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 4 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
230 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£43,500£66,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£58,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£450/mo

Evidenced range £400-£450

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £18,700
Net cash flow: £116/mo
Cash on cash: 7.4%
Score at this price: 48

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 2.30 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100000084365Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 450/mo (range 400-450)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 4 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 4 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 450/mo (range 400-450)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 113 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
4. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£59,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£450

Gross Yield9.31%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-5.1%

5y Growth+0.2%

10y Growth+3.0%

Last Sold Price£35,500 (2022-09-05)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideModerate
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0NE40 4UZ

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

DC/26/00795/FUL
Replacing the existing curtain wall glazing to the south entrance elevation with aluminium double glazed units to the same proportions with a stained glass finish. Replacement timber entrance doors with opening leaf increased to comply with current accessibility standards (Approved Document M). Installation of a high-quality render finish over the central elevation between the curtain walling to reinstate an elevation treatment over the currently exposed brickwork.
Pending
26/00056/DOC1
Discharge of Conditions 4 (Biodiversity Gain Plan) and 7 (HMMP) of Planning Application DC/26/00056/FUL.
Approved
DC/26/00750/CPL
CERTIFICATE OF LAWFULNESS FOR PROPOSED USE: The existing land is to be used mainly as an allotment.
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership87.1%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining74 yrs
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeLeasehold
Last Ownership Change2022-09-05
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

10 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£29,494

Population Density5,579 /km²

Owner Occupied76%

Age Distribution

0-15 13%16-64 60%65+ 27%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Emmaville Primary School
0.1 mi
Area grades2025
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
St Agnes' Catholic Primary School, Crawcrook
0.3 mi
-
Ryton Junior School
0.4 mi
Area grades2024
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
Ryton Community Infant School
0.4 mi
Good

2 of 13 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

8 Mollyfair Close
-
£60k
-
41 Mollyfair Close
-
£45k
-
17 Mollyfair Close
-
£58k
-
29 Mollyfair Close
-
£162k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN