Data freshness:●Listing· freshListing: fresh, refreshed 5d ago (2026-10-31T04:00:06.860827+00:00)●Price Paid· freshPrice Paid: fresh, refreshed 4d ago (2026-11-01T01:03:29.694578+00:00)●Planning· 4mo agoPlanning: stale, refreshed 4mo ago (2026-07-10T08:34:49.293080+00:00)●EPC· 3mo agoEPC: ageing, refreshed 3mo ago (2026-08-21T07:49:54.751762+00:00)●Risk· 5mo agoRisk: stale, refreshed 5mo ago (2026-06-18T00:00:00+00:00)●Connectivity· 1mo agoConnectivity: ageing, refreshed 1mo ago (2026-10-03T06:43:10.905825+00:00)●Schools· 1mo agoSchools: ageing, refreshed 1mo ago (2026-10-06T05:00:30.533230+00:00)●Amenities· 1mo agoAmenities: ageing, refreshed 1mo ago (2026-09-23T00:00:00+00:00)●Area· Census 2021Area: static reference data (Census 2021); authoritative and does not refresh
HP Score
71
/ 100
Mixed
Verdict
4 days ago
Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate
Evidence
20 of 21 sources
Sale Estimate
£159,000
£151k - £167kHigh
Estimate
£159k
Range
£151k – £167k
Rent Estimate (pcm)
£650
£600 - £700
Monthly
£650
Yield
6.50%
Verdict
Derived from HomePortfolio scores
1 Pebble Court earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 71/100. Investment score 60/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is limited (58/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.
G1 Dead Elms Section fell/Dismantle T1 Magnolia Prune and shape approx. 0.5m reduction
Pending
P/2026/0638
Non-Material Amendment to P/2025/0077. Amendment sought: Redesign of scheme to include replacement of LGF extension with timber framed pergola, alteration in the size of rear GF extension, retention of rear bay window, change to balustrading and screening, changes to windows and doors.
Rejected
P/2026/0615
Formation of single-storey rear extension, replacement balcony & associated landscaping.
No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.
Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN
Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN
Opportunity
Why this could be an opportunity
28
Low confidence1 independent sourceLead to verifyListing checked 31 Oct 2026
This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.
Check before relying on this score: the estimate sits 25% above the ask. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.
Valuation edge2.5/15
claims [AVM +24.6% (HIGH), sold-comps +13.1%, £/sqft +13.3%] → measured edge +0.50pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10000009007· as of 9 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 7.1%· as of 22 Oct 2026
Rental economics10.7/40
gross yield 6.5%; range width penalty ×0.89; the estimate this rent rides on sits 25% above the ask - check the rent describes the advertised home
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 650/mo (range 600-700)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
valuation_snapshotssale estimate 25% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -367/mo, -57% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; disclosed service charge and ground rent); fails the stress - earns nothing
listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advert· as of 31 Oct 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 265 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 31 Oct 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
284 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
property_intelligencetransactions_12mo
4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.
Economics
What happens to your money
Price sensitivity
£90,000£138,000
The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.
Your assumptions
£119,950
At the asking price
£650/mo
Evidenced range £600-£700
5.4%
75%
Cash required
£37,286
Net cash flow
£45/mo
Cash on cash
1.5%
Score at this price
28
After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.61 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.
Evidence
Where every number comes from
valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10000009007Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 7.1%Valuation edge · as of 22 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 650/mo (range 600-700)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
valuation_snapshotssale estimate 25% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this homeRental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advert
Risks
What could kill this deal
Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 650/mo (range 600-700)
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
sale estimate 25% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home
Plan
Before you offer
1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The market estimate this rent rides on sits far above the asking price, so the rent may describe a different home.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.
Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.
Stress margin · as of 31 Oct 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 31 Oct 2026