31 Thorne Farm Way, Ottery St. Mary, EX11 1GX

UPRN:10000246381Terrace Property3 bedsBuilt 2003-2006

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band DEPC: C (69)

Data freshness:Price Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 6mo ago

31 Thorne Farm Way, Ottery St. Mary, EX11 1GX

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

5 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£309,000

£293k - £324kHigh

Estimate

£309k

Range

£293k – £324k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,200

£1k - £1k

Monthly

£1,200

Yield

4.68%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

31 Thorne Farm Way earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 70/100. Investment score 62/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is limited (49/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

70/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

62/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

22/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

49/ 100

Mixed

Transit & Bike

Transit 8Bike 33

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 30 Oct 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +0.5% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10000246381· as of 9 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.7%; range width penalty ×0.87
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1200/mo (range 1100-1300)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -545/mo, -45% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 30 Oct 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
no listing-history inputs (first published date, price changes)
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
92 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£230,500£353,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£307,500

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,200/mo

Evidenced range £1,100-£1,300

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £98,925
Net cash flow: -£207/mo
Cash on cash: -2.5%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.16 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10000246381Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1200/mo (range 1100-1300)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 30 Oct 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth Valuation methodology

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1200/mo (range 1100-1300)
Seller motivation could not be scored
no listing-history inputs (first published date, price changes)

Property risk deep-dive →flood, subsidence, crime, environment - the full domain

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£309,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,200

Gross Yield4.68%

1y Growth+35.2%

3y Growth-1.3%

5y Growth+2.6%

10y Growth+2.8%

Last Sold Price£169,950 (2003-09-18)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideModerate
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0EX11 1GX

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/2188/DOC
Discharge of conditions for 25/2594/LBC: Condition 4 (Roof covering and underfelt)
Pending
26/2010/LBC
Demolish existing structure and construction of a single-storey extension to an existing office building
Pending
26/2009/FUL
Demolish existing structure and construction of a single-storey extension to an existing office building
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership67.7%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2003-09-18
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

15 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£32,154

Population Density1,273 /km²

Owner Occupied64%

Age Distribution

0-15 20%16-64 55%65+ 25%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

The King's School
0.1 mi
Area grades2025
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
Ottery St Mary Primary School
0.9 mi
Good
West Hill Primary School
1.8 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Tipton St John Church of England Primary School
2.3 mi
Good

3 of 14 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

19 Thorne Farm Way
-
£305k
-
49 Thorne Farm Way
-
£465k
-
43 Thorne Farm Way
-
£170k
-
Otter Hatch Thorne Farm Way
-
£350k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN