30 Lincoln Drive, Chester, CH2 2PQ

UPRN:100010018179-Beds -Built 1930-1949

Tenure: -Council Tax: Band CEPC: D (62)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· 1mo agoEPC· 2mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 4mo ago

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

5 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£335,000

£302k - £369kMedium

Estimate

£335k

Range

£302k – £369k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,450

£1k - £2k

Monthly

£1,450

Yield

6.21%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

30 Lincoln Drive earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 73/100. Investment score 59/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (47/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)Defra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

73/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

59/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

11/ 100

Low

Walkability

47/ 100

Mixed

Transit & Bike

Transit 19Bike 58

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesLead to verifyListing checked 4 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: the estimate sits 16% above the ask. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +16.4% (MEDIUM)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100010018179· as of 12 Oct 2026
Rental economics8.3/40
gross yield 6.2%; range width penalty ×0.86; the estimate this rent rides on sits 16% above the ask - check the rent describes the advertised home
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1450/mo (range 1350-1600)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
- valuation_snapshotssale estimate 16% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -246/mo, -17% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 4 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 74 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 4 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.8/15
423 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£210,000£322,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£280,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,450/mo

Evidenced range £1,350-£1,600

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £89,300
Net cash flow: £59/mo
Cash on cash: 0.8%
Score at this price: 21

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.53 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100010018179Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1450/mo (range 1350-1600)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
valuation_snapshotssale estimate 16% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this homeRental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 4 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 4 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1450/mo (range 1350-1600)
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
sale estimate 16% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The market estimate this rent rides on sits far above the asking price, so the rent may describe a different home.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£335,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,450

Gross Yield6.21%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+1.4%

5y Growth+2.2%

10y Growth+3.2%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0CH2 2PQ

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/03224/FUL
Change of use of The Spinney from C3 - Dwellinghouse to day nursery E(f), single storey rear extension, changes to fenestration and associated external works.
Pending
26/03185/TPO
Full removal of a heavily leaning yew tree adjacent to the perimeter fence on the left-hand side, approx 50m from the entrance as you drive in.
Pending
26/03179/TPO
Beech (T63) - Dismantle and fell to ground level
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership52.2%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease Type-
Last Ownership Change-
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

2 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£32,391

Population Density4,447 /km²

Owner Occupied78%

Age Distribution

0-15 16%16-64 53%65+ 31%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Upton-by-Chester High School
0.4 mi
-
The Hammond
0.6 mi
Inspected by ISI
The Firs School
0.6 mi
Inspected by ISI
St Martin's Academy Chester
0.6 mi
Area grades2024
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.

3 of 11 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

18 Lincoln Drive
-
£330k
-
11 Lincoln Drive
-
£310k
-
37 Lincoln Drive
-
£95k
-
15 Lincoln Drive
-
£320k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN