38 Upton Drive, Upton, Chester, CH2 1BU

UPRN:100010031845Semi-Detached House3 bedsBuilt 1930-1949

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band CEPC: D (61)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 6mo agoOwnership· 1mo agoEPC· 3mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

3 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

17 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£304,000

£289k - £320kHigh

Estimate

£304k

Range

£289k – £320k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,350

£1k - £1k

Monthly

£1,350

Yield

5.40%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

38 Upton Drive earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 48/100. Investment score 51/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is elevated. Walkability is limited (41/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

48/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

51/ 100

Moderate

100

Crime Score

100/ 100

Elevated

Walkability

41/ 100

Mixed

Transit & Bike

Transit 26Bike 51

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 6 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +1.3% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100010031845· as of 9 Oct 2026
Rental economics2.7/40
gross yield 5.4%; range width penalty ×0.83
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1350/mo (range 1200-1450)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
- listing_factslisting text signals condition works - budget before trusting any yield· as of 6 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -403/mo, -30% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 6 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 186 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 6 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
423 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£225,000£345,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£300,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,350/mo

Evidenced range £1,200-£1,450

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £96,300
Net cash flow: -£78/mo
Cash on cash: -1.0%
Score at this price: 17

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.33 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100010031845Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1350/mo (range 1200-1450)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factslisting text signals condition works - budget before trusting any yieldRental economics · as of 6 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 6 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 6 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1350/mo (range 1200-1450)
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
listing text signals condition works - budget before trusting any yield

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£304,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,350

Gross Yield5.40%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+1.4%

5y Growth+2.2%

10y Growth+3.2%

Last Sold Price£151,500 (2010-03-12)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

1CH2 1BU

Approval Rate

0%12mo

Development

low

26/03424/CAT
Fir tree (next to main gate) and Cherry tree (next to pedestrian gate) - Removing branches that go over the telephone wires and general maintenance.
Pending
26/03306/CAT
Removal of dead branch within the canopy of Ash tree
Pending
26/03137/TPO
T1 Cherry - Remove due to excessive basal decay and immediate risk to structures in close proximity. T6 Lime - Deadwood removal, remove epicormic and reduce roadside by 1.5m, crown raise to 5.2m roadside. T7 Horse Chestnut - Height reduction by up to a maximum of 2.5- 3m to reduce wind sail and to manage the height of the tree. Clear street light by 1.5m. T8 Lime - Crown reduction by 2m and clear streetlight by 1.5m. Deadwood removal. T9 English yew - Crown raise roadside/pathway by 5.2m. T10 Group of 3x Lime trees - Remove middle tree and re-pollard 2 remaining trees to previous growth points.
Pending

View Planning Timeline