3 Arthur Street, Lostock Gralam, Northwich, CW9 7PR

UPRN:100010178885Semi-Detached Bungalow3 bedsBuilt 1967-1975

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band DEPC: D (60)

Data freshness:Listing· freshOwnership· 1mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

3 Arthur Street, Lostock Gralam, Northwich, CW9 7PR

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

17 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£289,000

£231k - £347kLow

Estimate

£289k

Range

£231k – £347k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,250

£1k - £1k

Monthly

£1,250

Yield

3.33%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

3 Arthur Street earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 75/100. Investment score 70/100 reflects strong fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (43/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)Defra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

75/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

70/ 100

High

Crime Score

14/ 100

Low

Walkability

43/ 100

Mixed

Transit & Bike

Transit 14Bike 25

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 9 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [sold-comps -198.0%, £/sqft -198.3%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp; AVM excluded (estimate confidence LOW below scoring floor)
estimate confidence LOW below scoring floor · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 13.4%· as of 28 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 3.3%; range width penalty ×0.88
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1250/mo (range 1150-1350)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -1,110/mo, -89% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 9 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 90 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 9 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity9.2/15
418 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 40%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£337,500£517,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£450,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,250/mo

Evidenced range £1,150-£1,350

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £148,800
Net cash flow: -£653/mo
Cash on cash: -5.3%
Score at this price: 9

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 0.82 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 13.4%Valuation edge · as of 28 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1250/mo (range 1150-1350)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 9 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 9 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1250/mo (range 1150-1350)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 90 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£289,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,250

Gross Yield3.33%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+4.4%

5y Growth+2.9%

10y Growth+4.3%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonLow
MiningSignificant
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

1CW9 7PR

Approval Rate

0%12mo

Development

low

26/03239/FUL
Change of use from a 4-bedroom HMO (Use Class C4) to a 7-bedroom HMO (Sui Generis), together with a double storey first floor rear extension
Pending
26/02755/FUL
Installation of timber cladding to shopfront (retrospective)
Pending
26/02632/FUL
Demolition and replacement of the existing 39-bed, 2-storey care home, with a new 3-storey, 54-bed care home that will provide specialist dementia accommodation and upgraded facilities
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership78.9%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change-
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

7 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£32,391

Population Density2,400 /km²

Owner Occupied70%

Age Distribution

0-15 19%16-64 60%65+ 21%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Lostock Gralam CofE Primary School
0.1 mi
Inspected as Lostock Gralam CofE Primary School (URN 111289) on 23 Mar 2022
Wincham Community Primary School
1.0 mi
Good
The Rudheath Senior Academy
1.2 mi
Good
Rudheath Primary Academy and Nursery
1.4 mi
Area grades2024
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.

3 of 11 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

12 Arthur Street
-
£128k
-
6 Arthur Street
-
£128k
-
12 Arthur Street
-
£114k
-
12 Arthur Street
-
£115k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN