4 Fir Grove, Paddington, Warrington, WA1 3JF

UPRN:100010280890Semi-Detached House3 bedsBuilt 1950-1966

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band CEPC: E (53)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

4 Fir Grove, Paddington, Warrington, WA1 3JF

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

2 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£313,000

£298k - £329kHigh

Estimate

£313k

Range

£298k – £329k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,700

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£1,700

Yield

5.83%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

4 Fir Grove earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 74/100. Investment score 57/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is limited (56/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

74/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

57/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

15/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

56/ 100

Moderate

Transit & Bike

Transit 18Bike 53

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 4 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge-1.6/15
claims [AVM -11.8% (HIGH), sold-comps -17.4%, £/sqft -17.4%] → measured edge -0.33pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp; asking more than 10% above the estimate (measured -0.33pp)
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100010280890· as of 13 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 10.7%· as of 30 Oct 2026
Rental economics6/40
gross yield 5.8%; range width penalty ×0.91
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1700/mo (range 1600-1850)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -357/mo, -21% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 4 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 31 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 4 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.7/15
292 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£262,500£402,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£350,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,700/mo

Evidenced range £1,600-£1,850

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £113,800
Net cash flow: -£4/mo
Cash on cash: -0.0%
Score at this price: 19

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.44 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100010280890Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 10.7%Valuation edge · as of 30 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1700/mo (range 1600-1850)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 4 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 4 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1700/mo (range 1600-1850)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 31 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£313,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,700

Gross Yield5.83%

1y Growth+24.4%

3y Growth+0.7%

5y Growth+4.7%

10y Growth+5.0%

Last Sold Price£185,000 (2019-07-12)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0WA1 3JF

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

2026/00800/TPO
Proposed remedial works to x2 trees and fell of x1 tree
Pending
2026/00754/CLDP
single storey rear extension
Pending
2026/00738/CLDP
Proposed conversion of detached garage to living accommodation
Pending

View Planning Timeline