438 Poplars Avenue, Warrington, WA2 9UJ

UPRN:100010307358Mid Terrace HouseBeds -Built 1950-1966

Tenure: -Council Tax: Band AEPC: C (69)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 1mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

2 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

17 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£187,000

£168k - £206kMedium

Estimate

£187k

Range

£168k – £206k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,200

£1k - £1k

Monthly

£1,200

Yield

8.00%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

438 Poplars Avenue earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 63/100. Investment score 54/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is moderate. Walkability is good (78/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)Defra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

63/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

54/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

59/ 100

Elevated

Walkability

78/ 100

High

Transit & Bike

Transit 17Bike 50

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence1 independent sourceListing checked 4 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +3.7% (MEDIUM)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100010307358· as of 13 Oct 2026
Rental economics24/40
gross yield 8.0%; range width penalty ×1.00
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1200/mo (range 1150-1250)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
- listing_factslisting text signals condition works - budget before trusting any yield· as of 4 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -7/mo, -1% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 4 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 45 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 4 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.8/15
383 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£135,000£207,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£180,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,200/mo

Evidenced range £1,150-£1,250

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £56,400
Net cash flow: £223/mo
Cash on cash: 4.8%
Score at this price: 37

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.98 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100010307358Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1200/mo (range 1150-1250)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factslisting text signals condition works - budget before trusting any yieldRental economics · as of 4 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 4 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 4 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1200/mo (range 1150-1250)
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
listing text signals condition works - budget before trusting any yield

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£187,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,200

Gross Yield8.00%

1y Growth+81.0%

3y Growth+1.9%

5y Growth+5.1%

10y Growth+5.3%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0WA2 9UJ

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

2026/00810/FUL
Installation of electric vehicle charging points comprising chargePoint upstands, supporting electrical equipment, including a substation, cabinet infrastructure and electrical cabling.
Pending
2026/00737/CLDP
Proposed single storey side extension
Pending
2026/00621/FULH
External works to the front garden to permit the installation of a new car parking space.
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership47.7%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease Type-
Last Ownership Change-
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

3 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£34,144

Population Density791 /km²

Owner Occupied55%

Age Distribution

0-15 18%16-64 66%65+ 16%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Sandy Lane Nursery and Forest School
0.4 mi
Outstanding
St Andrew's CofE Primary School
0.5 mi
Inspected as St Andrew's CofE Primary School (URN 111301) on 3 Jul 2023
St Stephen's Catholic Primary School
0.5 mi
Good
Meadowside Community Primary and Nursery School
0.7 mi
Good

3 of 13 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

484 Poplars Avenue
-
£208k
-
484 Poplars Avenue
-
£115k
-
484 Poplars Avenue
-
£100k
-
482 Poplars Avenue
-
£142k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN