3 Willow Drive, Stockton Heath, Warrington, WA4 2AT

UPRN:100010323925Semi-Detached House4 bedsBuilt 1967-1975

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band CEPC: C (71)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 6mo agoEPC· 3mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

3 Willow Drive, Stockton Heath, Warrington, WA4 2AT

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

4 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£540,000

£513k - £567kHigh

Estimate

£540k

Range

£513k – £567k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£2,800

£3k - £3k

Monthly

£2,800

Yield

6.52%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

3 Willow Drive earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 77/100. Investment score 60/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (56/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

77/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

60/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

6/ 100

Low

Walkability

56/ 100

Moderate

Transit & Bike

Transit 16Bike 55

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 4 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +4.6% (HIGH), sold-comps -38.1%, £/sqft -38.2%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100010323925· as of 9 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 11 comps, dispersion 17.1%· as of 5 Nov 2026
Rental economics11.1/40
gross yield 6.5%; range width penalty ×0.91
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2800/mo (range 2600-3000)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -245/mo, -9% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 4 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 125 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 4 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
638 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£386,000£592,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£515,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£2,800/mo

Evidenced range £2,600-£3,000

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £171,550
Net cash flow: £200/mo
Cash on cash: 1.4%
Score at this price: 26

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.61 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100010323925Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 11 comps, dispersion 17.1%Valuation edge · as of 5 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2800/mo (range 2600-3000)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 4 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 4 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 2800/mo (range 2600-3000)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 125 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£540,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£2,800

Gross Yield6.52%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-0.2%

5y Growth+2.4%

10y Growth+4.2%

Last Sold Price£230,000 (2016-03-23)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

1WA4 2AT

Approval Rate

100%12mo

Development

low

2026/00804/FULH
single storey rear extension replacing existing garden room.
Pending
2026/00741/FULH
Glass canopy fixed to rear of dwelling
Pending
2026/00705/CLDP
Gable roof alteration to side elevation
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership56.3%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2016-03-23
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

16 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£34,144

Population Density4,008 /km²

Owner Occupied72%

Age Distribution

0-15 20%16-64 56%65+ 24%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

St Thomas' CofE Primary School
0.1 mi
Inspected as St Thomas' CofE Primary School (URN 111318) on 4 Feb 2025
The Cobbs Infant and Nursery School
0.4 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
St Monica's Catholic Primary School
0.5 mi
Area grades2025
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
Our Lady's Catholic Primary School, a Voluntary Academy
0.5 mi
Inspected as Our Lady's Catholic Primary School (URN 111305) on 1 Feb 2022

5 of 12 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

24 Willow Drive
-
£300k
-
27 Willow Drive
-
£405k
-
23 Willow Drive
-
£950
-
34 Willow Drive
-
£950
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN