11 The Orchard, Croston, Leyland, PR26 9HS

UPRN:100010395396Semi-Detached House3 bedsBuilt 1930-1949

FreeholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: C (73)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 4mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

11 The Orchard, Croston, Leyland, PR26 9HS

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

3 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

20 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£347,000

£330k - £364kHigh

Estimate

£347k

Range

£330k – £364k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,300

£1k - £1k

Monthly

£1,300

Yield

4.39%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

11 The Orchard earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 76/100. Investment score 63/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (51/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

76/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

63/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

11/ 100

Low

Walkability

51/ 100

Moderate

Transit & Bike

Transit 12Bike 27

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesLead to verifyListing checked 6 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: the advert has 6 bedrooms but the valuation snapshot describes 3 - an extension, conversion or HMO the evidence does not reflect, or a different home. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -2.3% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100010395396· as of 9 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.4%; range width penalty ×0.82
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1300/mo (range 1150-1400)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -672/mo, -52% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 6 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 273 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 6 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.7/15
164 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£266,000£408,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£355,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,300/mo

Evidenced range £1,150-£1,400

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £115,550
Net cash flow: -£298/mo
Cash on cash: -3.1%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.09 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100010395396Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1300/mo (range 1150-1400)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 6 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 6 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1300/mo (range 1150-1400)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 273 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£347,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,300

Gross Yield4.39%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+2.6%

5y Growth+2.9%

10y Growth+3.8%

Last Sold Price£129,950 (2011-06-27)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0PR26 9HS

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/00963/TCON
Notification of proposed works to protected tree within Croston Conservation Area - T1 Elm= Fell T2 Elm =Fell T3 Elm = Fell
Pending
26/00691/FULHH
Single storey rear and side extension and extension to detached garage
Approved
26/00682/PIP
Permission in principle application for the erection of 1 dwelling and the formation of a residents parking area, following demolition of existing buildings.
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership84.6%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2011-06-27
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

17 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£33,337

Population Density-

Owner Occupied71%

Age Distribution

0-15 17%16-64 58%65+ 25%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Trinity and St Michael's VA CofE/Methodist Primary School
0.4 mi
Outstanding
Bishop Rawstorne Church of England Academy
0.5 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Bretherton Endowed Church of England Voluntary Aided Primary School
1.1 mi
Good
Eccleston Primary School
2.3 mi
Good

5 of 13 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

7 The Orchard
-
£238k
-
37 The Orchard
-
£100k
-
3 The Orchard
-
£288k
-
5 The Orchard
-
£210k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN