46 Birkdale Avenue, Lytham St. Annes, FY8 3AH

UPRN:100010398193Semi-Detached House3 bedsBuilt 1930-1949

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band BEPC: D (60)

Data freshness:Planning· 4mo agoOwnership· 1mo agoEPC· 1mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 6mo ago

46 Birkdale Avenue, Lytham St. Annes, FY8 3AH

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

7 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

20 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£190,000

£180k - £199kHigh

Estimate

£190k

Range

£180k – £199k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£900

£850 - £950

Monthly

£900

Yield

6.75%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

46 Birkdale Avenue earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 78/100. Investment score 59/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (67/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

78/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

59/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

7/ 100

Low

Walkability

67/ 100

Moderate

Transit & Bike

Transit 20Bike 39

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesLead to verifyListing checked 3 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: the estimate sits 16% above the ask. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +15.8% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100010398193· as of 12 Oct 2026
Rental economics13.7/40
gross yield 6.8%; range width penalty ×0.98; the estimate this rent rides on sits 16% above the ask - check the rent describes the advertised home
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 900/mo (range 850-950)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
- valuation_snapshotssale estimate 16% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
- listing_factslisting text signals condition works - budget before trusting any yield· as of 3 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -144/mo, -16% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 3 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 49 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 3 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
636 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£120,000£184,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£160,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£900/mo

Evidenced range £850-£950

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £50,000
Net cash flow: £83/mo
Cash on cash: 2.0%
Score at this price: 28

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.67 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100010398193Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 900/mo (range 850-950)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
valuation_snapshotssale estimate 16% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this homeRental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factslisting text signals condition works - budget before trusting any yieldRental economics · as of 3 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 900/mo (range 850-950)
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
sale estimate 16% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The market estimate this rent rides on sits far above the asking price, so the rent may describe a different home.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£190,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£900

Gross Yield6.75%

1y Growth+39.3%

3y Growth+1.2%

5y Growth+2.6%

10y Growth+2.9%

Last Sold Price£120,000 (2018-10-08)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0FY8 3AH

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/0582
PROPOSED FELLING OF HORSE CHESTNUT TREE LOCATED IN REAR GARDEN OF PROPERTY AND IN ST ANNES ROAD EAST CONSERVATION AREA
Pending
26/0533
CONSTRUCTION OF FIRST FLOOR SIDE EXTENSION TO CARE HOME
Pending
26/0527
SINGLE STOREY EXTENSION TO FRONT OF EXISTING GARAGE, RAISING ROOF HEIGHT OF EXISTING SINGLE STOREY SIDE/REAR EXTENSION AND SINGLE STOREY REAR EXTENSION
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership72%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining999+ yrs
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeLeasehold
Last Ownership Change2018-10-08
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

11 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£36,020

Population Density3,777 /km²

Owner Occupied84%

Age Distribution

0-15 16%16-64 56%65+ 28%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Heyhouses Endowed Church of England Primary School
0.5 mi
Area grades2024
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
Lytham St Annes Mayfield Primary School
0.6 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Poplar House School
0.8 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Our Lady Star of the Sea Catholic Primary School
0.9 mi
Inspected as Our Lady Star of the Sea Catholic Primary School (URN 119627) on 28 Mar 2023

4 of 12 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

22 Birkdale Avenue
-
£217k
-
22 Birkdale Avenue
-
£130k
-
48 Birkdale Avenue
-
£170k
-
64 Birkdale Avenue
-
£168k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN