17 Johnson Close, Carnforth, LA5 9UJ

UPRN:100010455763Detached House3 bedsBuilt 1991-1995

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band DEPC: C (78)

Data freshness:Planning· 4mo agoOwnership· 1mo agoEPC· 4mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

7 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

20 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£385,000

£366k - £404kHigh

Estimate

£385k

Range

£366k – £404k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,350

£1k - £2k

Monthly

£1,350

Yield

4.98%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

17 Johnson Close earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 74/100. Investment score 65/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (36/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

74/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

65/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

5/ 100

Low

Walkability

36/ 100

Mixed

Transit & Bike

Transit 9Bike 35

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesLead to verifyListing checked 9 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: the estimate sits 16% above the ask. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +15.6% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100010455763· as of 12 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 5.0%; range width penalty ×0.76; the estimate this rent rides on sits 16% above the ask - check the rent describes the advertised home
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1350/mo (range 1200-1500)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
- valuation_snapshotssale estimate 16% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -509/mo, -38% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 9 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 73 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 9 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.7/15
170 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£244,000£374,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£325,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,350/mo

Evidenced range £1,200-£1,500

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £105,050
Net cash flow: -£162/mo
Cash on cash: -1.9%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.23 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100010455763Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1350/mo (range 1200-1500)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
valuation_snapshotssale estimate 16% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this homeRental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 9 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 9 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1350/mo (range 1200-1500)
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
sale estimate 16% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The market estimate this rent rides on sits far above the asking price, so the rent may describe a different home.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£385,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,350

Gross Yield4.98%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+3.6%

5y Growth+4.0%

10y Growth+3.7%

Last Sold Price£132,000 (2003-12-12)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonModerate
MiningLow
LandslideModerate
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0LA5 9UJ

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/01096/FUL
Demolition of existing outbuildings, demolition of existing single storey and two storey extensions and erection of new single-storey side extension and a two-storey rear extension
Pending
26/01033/VCN
Prior approval for the conversion and change of use of agricultural buildings to 5 dwellings (pursuant to the variation of condition 2 on planning permission 26/00803/VCN to amend the plans to include 3 no. pv arrays on Plots 3, 4 and 5)
Pending
26/01019/FUL
Change of use of retail unit and maisonette to 4 self contained flats, installation of replacement windows and doors, construction of roof terrace and alterations to shop front
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership79.4%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2003-12-12
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

15 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£29,651

Population Density1,409 /km²

Owner Occupied83%

Age Distribution

0-15 17%16-64 60%65+ 23%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Carnforth Community Primary School
0.6 mi
Good
Carnforth Christ Church, Church of England, Voluntary Aided Primary School
0.6 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Our Lady of Lourdes Catholic Primary School, Carnforth
0.8 mi
Inspected as Our Lady of Lourdes Catholic Primary School, Carnforth (URN 119618) on 14 Jun 2022
Carnforth High School
0.8 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.

1 of 13 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

29 Johnson Close
-
£360k
-
7 Johnson Close
-
£131k
-
4 Johnson Close
-
£350k
-
1 Johnson Close
-
£212k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN