9 First Avenue, Tottington, Bury, BL8 3JA

UPRN:100010958232Semi-Detached PropertyBeds -Built 1967-1975

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band BEPC: D (63)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 2mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 6mo ago

9 First Avenue, Tottington, Bury, BL8 3JA

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

5 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£258,000

£232k - £283kMedium

Estimate

£258k

Range

£232k – £283k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,500

£1k - £2k

Monthly

£1,500

Yield

6.55%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

9 First Avenue earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 71/100. Investment score 51/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Walkability is limited (68/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021HM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

71/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

51/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

No data

Walkability

68/ 100

Moderate

Transit & Bike

Transit 32Bike 39

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesLead to verifyListing checked 2 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress test assumes GBP 0. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -6.6% (MEDIUM)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100010958232· as of 12 Oct 2026
Rental economics11.5/40
gross yield 6.5%; range width penalty ×0.93
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1500/mo (range 1400-1600)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -188/mo, -13% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing; leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress assumes GBP 0
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 2 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 72 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 2 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.9/15
412 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£206,000£316,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£275,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,500/mo

Evidenced range £1,400-£1,600

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £87,550
Net cash flow: £110/mo
Cash on cash: 1.5%
Score at this price: 24

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.62 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100010958232Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1500/mo (range 1400-1600)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 2 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 2 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1500/mo (range 1400-1600)
Stress margin needs verification before you rely on it
costs not disclosed by the advert

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£258,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,500

Gross Yield6.55%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-1.1%

5y Growth+1.0%

10y Growth+3.6%

Last Sold Price£44,950 (1998-01-16)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonModerate
MiningUnknown
LandslideSignificant
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0BL8 3JA

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

73750
Single storey side and rear extension
Pending
73752
Lawful development certificate for proposed loft conversion with rear dormer
Pending
73652
Erection on 1. No 3 Bed Dwelling
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership68.1%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining999+ yrs
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeLeasehold
Last Ownership Change1998-01-16
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

12 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£31,687

Population Density-

Owner Occupied91%

Age Distribution

0-15 18%16-64 57%65+ 25%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Tottington High School
0.2 mi
Requires improvementConcerns
Tottington Primary School
0.3 mi
Good
Christ Church CofE Primary School
0.6 mi
Good
The Elton High School
0.9 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.

4 of 15 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

16 First Avenue
-
£200k
-
3 First Avenue
-
£234k
-
6 First Avenue
-
£162k
-
11 First Avenue
-
£230k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN