18 Sabden Close, Bury, BL9 5LR

UPRN:100010973846Detached House4 bedsBuilt 1967-1975

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band EEPC: E (52)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· freshEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 4mo ago

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

3 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£402,000

£382k - £422kHigh

Estimate

£402k

Range

£382k – £422k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£2,000

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£2,000

Yield

6.00%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

18 Sabden Close earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 62/100. Investment score 54/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Walkability is limited (33/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021HM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

62/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

54/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

No data

Walkability

33/ 100

Mixed

Transit & Bike

Transit 22Bike 17

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 11 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +0.5% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Nov 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100010973846· as of 9 Nov 2026
Rental economics7.6/40
gross yield 6.0%; range width penalty ×0.95
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2000/mo (range 1900-2150)· as of 9 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -348/mo, -17% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 11 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 66 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 11 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
495 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£300,000£460,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£400,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£2,000/mo

Evidenced range £1,900-£2,150

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £131,300
Net cash flow: £35/mo
Cash on cash: 0.3%
Score at this price: 22

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.48 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100010973846Valuation edge · as of 9 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2000/mo (range 1900-2150)Rental economics · as of 9 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 11 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 11 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 2000/mo (range 1900-2150)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 66 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£402,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£2,000

Gross Yield6.00%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+7.2%

5y Growth+5.3%

10y Growth+5.3%

Last Sold Price£183,000 (2013-03-08)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonModerate
MiningLow
LandslideModerate
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0BL9 5LR

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

73808
Single storey rear extension
Pending
73782
Erection of four-storey residential building comprising 38no. one, two and three-bedroom apartments, together with car parking, landscaping and other associated works.
Pending
73729
Two storey side extension; Two storey rear extension; Alterations to windows and doors
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership50.2%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining999+ yrs
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeLeasehold
Last Ownership Change2013-03-08
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

6 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£31,687

Population Density563 /km²

Owner Occupied76%

Age Distribution

0-15 16%16-64 60%65+ 24%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Springside Primary School
0.1 mi
Area grades2025
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
Chesham Primary Academy
0.7 mi
Inspected as Chesham Primary School (URN 105293) on 1 Mar 2023
Our Lady of Lourdes Roman Catholic Primary School, A Voluntary Academy
0.8 mi
Inspected as Our Lady of Lourdes Roman Catholic Primary School, Bury (URN 105337) on 8 Mar 2023
Old Hall Primary School
0.9 mi
Inspected as Old Hall Primary School (URN 105294) on 28 Sep 2023

3 of 13 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

10 Sabden Close
-
£293k
-
2 Sabden Close
-
£250k
-
2 Sabden Close
-
£250k
-
24 Sabden Close
-
£450k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN