15 Chilham Road, Worsley, Manchester, M28 3DP

UPRN:100011353322Semi-Detached House3 bedsBuilt 1950-1966

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band CEPC: C (69)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· freshEPC· 5mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 5mo ago

15 Chilham Road, Worsley, Manchester, M28 3DP

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

3 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

20 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£241,000

£228k - £253kHigh

Estimate

£241k

Range

£228k – £253k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,250

£1k - £1k

Monthly

£1,250

Yield

6.52%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

15 Chilham Road earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 70/100. Investment score 51/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Walkability is good (70/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

70/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

51/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

No data

Walkability

70/ 100

High

Transit & Bike

Transit 51Bike 44

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence1 independent sourceListing checked 11 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0.7/15
claims [AVM +4.6% (HIGH), sold-comps +0.9%, £/sqft +0.9%] → measured edge +0.14pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Nov 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100011353322· as of 9 Nov 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 8 comps, dispersion 19.2%· as of 8 Nov 2026
Rental economics10.7/40
gross yield 6.5%; range width penalty ×0.88
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1250/mo (range 1150-1350)· as of 9 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -182/mo, -15% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 11 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 120 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 11 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
453 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£172,500£264,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£230,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,250/mo

Evidenced range £1,150-£1,350

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £72,400
Net cash flow: £89/mo
Cash on cash: 1.5%
Score at this price: 26

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.61 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100011353322Valuation edge · as of 9 Nov 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 8 comps, dispersion 19.2%Valuation edge · as of 8 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1250/mo (range 1150-1350)Rental economics · as of 9 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 11 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 11 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1250/mo (range 1150-1350)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 120 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£241,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,250

Gross Yield6.52%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-1.2%

5y Growth+2.4%

10y Growth+4.4%

Last Sold Price£75,000 (2012-01-16)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0M28 3DP

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

OTH/2026/1482
Request for confirmation of compliance of conditions 3 (Surface Water Drainage) and 6 (Ecological Enhancements) attached to planning permission PA/2025/1427
Pending
OTH/2026/1440
Application for a non-material amendment to planning permission PA/2025/1565 for an AOV window to the first floor, external access into the basement, an additional external fire exit, and rendering of the building.
Pending
PA/2026/0486
Change of use of the existing building from office use (use class E) to a community centre (use class F2) for prayer, community and educational activities.
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership74.2%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining709 yrs
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeLeasehold
Last Ownership Change2012-01-16
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

16 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£30,495

Population Density6,145 /km²

Owner Occupied48%

Age Distribution

0-15 19%16-64 66%65+ 15%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Christ The King RC Primary School
0.2 mi
-
St Paul's CofE Primary School
0.2 mi
Area grades2025
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
St Paul's CofE Primary School
0.3 mi
Good
Mesne Lea Primary School
0.4 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.

2 of 14 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

18 Chilham Road
-
£240k
-
34 Chilham Road
-
£2k
-
8 Chilham Road
-
£230k
-
10 Chilham Road
-
£295k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN