12 Francis Avenue, Worsley, Manchester, M28 3HY

UPRN:100011361952Semi-Detached House4 bedsBuilt 1930-1949

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band CEPC: C (75)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· freshEPC· 3mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

12 Francis Avenue, Worsley, Manchester, M28 3HY

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£415,000

£374k - £457kMedium

Estimate

£415k

Range

£374k – £457k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£2,200

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£2,200

Yield

5.87%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

12 Francis Avenue earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 66/100. Investment score 53/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Walkability is limited (50/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021HM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

66/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

53/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

No data

Walkability

50/ 100

Moderate

Transit & Bike

Transit 32Bike 42

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesLead to verifyListing checked 6 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress test assumes GBP 0. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -8.4% (MEDIUM)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 10 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100011361952· as of 10 Oct 2026
Rental economics6.4/40
gross yield 5.9%; range width penalty ×0.93
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2200/mo (range 2050-2350)· as of 10 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -412/mo, -19% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; disclosed service charge and ground rent); fails the stress - earns nothing; leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress assumes GBP 0
- listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advert· as of 6 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 93 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 6 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.8/15
453 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£337,500£517,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£450,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£2,200/mo

Evidenced range £2,050-£2,350

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £148,800
Net cash flow: £4/mo
Cash on cash: 0.0%
Score at this price: 19

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.45 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100011361952Valuation edge · as of 10 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2200/mo (range 2050-2350)Rental economics · as of 10 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advertStress margin · as of 6 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 6 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 2200/mo (range 2050-2350)
Stress margin needs verification before you rely on it
service charge / ground rent from the advert

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£415,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£2,200

Gross Yield5.87%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-1.2%

5y Growth+2.4%

10y Growth+4.4%

Last Sold Price£190,000 (2005-08-01)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

1M28 3HY

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

OTH/2026/1482
Request for confirmation of compliance of conditions 3 (Surface Water Drainage) and 6 (Ecological Enhancements) attached to planning permission PA/2025/1427
Pending
PA/2026/1197
Demolition of existing conservatory and erection of a single storey rear extension and alterations to existing garage.
Conditions
OTH/2026/1138
Tree application for proposed works to 1 x Sycamore (T1) reduce crown by 2.5 metres
Rejected

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership74.3%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining837 yrs
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeLeasehold
Last Ownership Change2005-08-01
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

13 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£30,495

Population Density1,843 /km²

Owner Occupied79%

Age Distribution

0-15 16%16-64 63%65+ 21%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

St Paul's CofE Primary School
0.2 mi
Good
Christ The King RC Primary School
0.3 mi
-
Co-op Academy Walkden
0.5 mi
Good
Mesne Lea Primary School
0.5 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.

4 of 14 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

11 Francis Avenue
-
£292k
-
9 Francis Avenue
-
£383k
-
5 Francis Avenue
-
£213k
-
14 Francis Avenue
-
£337k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN