3 Townsend Close, Dursley, GL11 4GF

UPRN:10001168383Purpose Built Flat2 bedsBuilt 2007-2011

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band BEPC: C (80)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· freshEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 1mo ago

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

2 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£152,000

£144k - £159kHigh

Estimate

£152k

Range

£144k – £159k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£750

£700 - £800

Monthly

£750

Yield

6.21%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

3 Townsend Close earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 76/100. Investment score 63/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is limited (63/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

76/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

63/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

16/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

63/ 100

Moderate

Transit & Bike

Transit 11Bike 36

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesLead to verifyListing checked 7 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress test assumes GBP 0. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +4.6% (HIGH), sold-comps -2.1%, £/sqft -1.8%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Nov 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10001168383· as of 9 Nov 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 23.9%· as of 7 Nov 2026
Rental economics9/40
gross yield 6.2%; range width penalty ×0.93
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 750/mo (range 700-800)· as of 9 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -190/mo, -25% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing; leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress assumes GBP 0
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 7 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 566 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 7 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.7/15
217 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£109,000£167,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£145,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£750/mo

Evidenced range £700-£800

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £45,200
Net cash flow: £30/mo
Cash on cash: 0.8%
Score at this price: 24

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.53 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10001168383Valuation edge · as of 9 Nov 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 23.9%Valuation edge · as of 7 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 750/mo (range 700-800)Rental economics · as of 9 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 7 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 7 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 750/mo (range 700-800)
Stress margin needs verification before you rely on it
costs not disclosed by the advert

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
4. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£152,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£750

Gross Yield6.21%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-3.0%

5y Growth+1.0%

10y Growth+4.1%

Last Sold Price£138,950 (2006-08-04)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonModerate
MiningUnknown
LandslideSignificant
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0GL11 4GF

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

S.26/1927/TPO
TPO/0421 - Reduction of Yew Tree - 2 metres selectively.
Pending
S.26/1777/HHOLD
Erection of a replacement single storey rear extension.
Pending
S.26/1767/FUL
Erection of a replacement self-build dwelling (Class C3) and associated works (retrospective).
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership74.5%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining999+ yrs
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeLeasehold
Last Ownership Change2006-08-04
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

18 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£33,495

Population Density2,496 /km²

Owner Occupied59%

Age Distribution

0-15 17%16-64 61%65+ 22%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Rednock School
0.4 mi
Good
Peak Academy
0.4 mi
Area grades2025
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
Dursley Church of England Primary Academy
0.5 mi
Area grades2025
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
Cam Everlands Primary School
1.0 mi
-

2 of 13 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

4 Townsend Close
-
£160k
-
4 Townsend Close
-
£153k
-
4 Townsend Close
-
£138k
-
8 Townsend Close
-
£175k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN