Fir Tree Bungalow, Holmeswood Road, Rufford, Ormskirk, L40 1TY

UPRN:100012415291Detached PropertyBeds -Built 1950-1966

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band DEPC: C (71)

Data freshness:Listing· freshOwnership· 1mo agoEPC· 1mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

Fir Tree Bungalow, Holmeswood Road, Rufford, Ormskirk, L40 1TY

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

6 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£513,000

£462k - £565kMedium

Estimate

£513k

Range

£462k – £565k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,850

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£1,850

Yield

4.93%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Fir Tree Bungalow earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 61/100. Investment score 50/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (4/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

61/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

50/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

14/ 100

Low

Walkability

4/ 100

Low

Transit & Bike

Transit 3Bike 21

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 4 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +12.3% (MEDIUM)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100012415291· as of 12 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.9%; range width penalty ×0.77
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1850/mo (range 1650-2050)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -669/mo, -36% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 4 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 48 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 4 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.8/15
225 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£337,500£517,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£450,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,850/mo

Evidenced range £1,650-£2,050

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £148,800
Net cash flow: -£238/mo
Cash on cash: -1.9%
Score at this price: 13

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.22 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100012415291Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1850/mo (range 1650-2050)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 4 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 4 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1850/mo (range 1650-2050)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 48 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£513,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,850

Gross Yield4.93%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+0.3%

5y Growth+0.3%

10y Growth+4.3%

Last Sold Price£118,000 (1999-08-25)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

2L40 1TY

Approval Rate

0%12mo

Development

low

2026/0875/PNH
Application for determination as to whether prior approval of details is required - extension of dwellinghouse. Extension extends beyond rear wall of the original dwellinghouse - by 5.49m. Maximum height of the extension 2.59m. Height of eaves of the extension 2.59m.
Pending
2026/0795/FUL
Change of use of an agricultural barn to a residential dwelling house. As part of the conversion works, other works also include proposed roof alterations and a replacement extension to the north facing elevation.
Pending
2026/0753/PNC
Application for determination as to whether prior approval of details is required - Class Q - Change of use from agricultural building to dwellinghouse (and for building works necessary to convert the building).
Rejected

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership72.1%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change1999-08-25
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

6 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£31,884

Population Density171 /km²

Owner Occupied86%

Age Distribution

0-15 14%16-64 58%65+ 28%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Holmeswood Methodist School
0.2 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Tarleton Mere Brow Church of England Primary School
1.7 mi
GoodConcerns
Rufford CofE School
1.7 mi
Good
Tarleton Holy Trinity CofE Primary School
2.5 mi
Good

4 of 15 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

Souter Gate Holmeswood Road
-
£230k
-
Birch Lane Farm Holmeswood Road
-
£760k
-
Old Post Office Farm Holmeswood Road
-
£630k
-
Fairfields Holmeswood Road
-
£400k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN