Flat 1, Oak Tree Court, 129 Burgess Road, Southampton, SO16 7AE

UPRN:10001317327Flat/Maisonette2 bedsBuilt 1996-2002

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band BEPC: C (77)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

Flat 1, Oak Tree Court, 129 Burgess Road, Southampton, SO16 7AE

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

3 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

20 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£199,000

£189k - £209kHigh

Estimate

£199k

Range

£189k – £209k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,200

£1k - £1k

Monthly

£1,200

Yield

7.58%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Flat 1 earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 80/100. Investment score 65/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is good (76/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

80/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

65/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

15/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

76/ 100

High

Transit & Bike

Transit 13Bike 63

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence1 independent sourceLead to verifyListing checked 5 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress test assumes GBP 0. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +4.5% (HIGH), sold-comps -6.1%, £/sqft -6.4%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10001317327· as of 13 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 11%· as of 1 Nov 2026
Rental economics20.6/40
gross yield 7.6%; range width penalty ×1.00
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1200/mo (range 1150-1250)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -50/mo, -4% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing; leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress assumes GBP 0
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 5 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 59 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 5 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
541 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£142,500£218,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£190,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,200/mo

Evidenced range £1,150-£1,250

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £59,600
Net cash flow: £190/mo
Cash on cash: 3.8%
Score at this price: 35

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.87 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10001317327Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 11%Valuation edge · as of 1 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1200/mo (range 1150-1250)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 5 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 5 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1200/mo (range 1150-1250)
Stress margin needs verification before you rely on it
costs not disclosed by the advert

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£199,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,200

Gross Yield7.58%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+1.9%

5y Growth+2.8%

10y Growth+3.8%

Last Sold Price£174,000 (2017-03-03)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0SO16 7AE

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/01262/P63A
Prior approval for replacement staircase
Pending
26/00283/TPO
T155 Willow (Goat) - Recoppice. T160 Bird Cherry - Remove major dead wood. Cut back branches from lamp column to give clearance of 1-2m. T161 Bird Cherry - Crown lift 3m over footpath. Cut back branches from lamp column to give clearance of 1-2m. T162 Bird Cherry - Remove major dead wood. Cut back branches from lamp column to give clearance of 1-2m. T165 Lime - Crown lift to 4m over footpath. T172 Lime (Common) - Insert flexible brace system between co-dominant stems. Remove epicormic growth to 2m. Crown lift to 4m. T178 Oak (English) - Crown reduce extended limbs to North over car parking by 2-3m. Remove major dead wood. T181 Beech - Fell close to ground level (approx 50mm). T198 Lime - Crown lift to 6m. T200 Sweet Chestnut - Crown reduce by 2-3m to North over road. Remove major dead wood. PLEASE REFER TO ATTACHED TREE SURVEY FOR REASONINGS AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
Pending
26/00284/TPO
T201 Sweet Chestnut - Remove major dead wood. Insert flexible brace between co-dominant stems. T204 Oak (English) - Sever Ivy at ground level and strip to 2m and remove section. Clear vegetation. Reinspect. T208 Sycamore - Crown lift to 6m remove major dead wood. Prune lowest branches overhanging shed. Clear vegetation. T210 Elm - Crown reduce leading arching stem by 4m. Remove major dead wood. T212 Pine (Scots) - Crown reduce to standing monolith at 10m T213 Pine (Scots) - Crown reduce to Standing monolith at 10m. T214 Pine (Scots) - Clear trunk timber arisings T216 Beech - Fully clear vegetation around root crown to fully inspect. Remove major dead wood.
Pending

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