1 Esher Close, Bexley, DA5 3LD

UPRN:100020196392Purpose Built Flat2 bedsBuilt 1950-1966

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band CEPC: C (75)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· freshEPC· 4mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 6mo ago

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£328,000

£311k - £344kHigh

Estimate

£328k

Range

£311k – £344k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,500

£1k - £2k

Monthly

£1,500

Yield

5.62%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

1 Esher Close earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 71/100. Investment score 58/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (41/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

71/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

58/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

9/ 100

Low

Walkability

41/ 100

Mixed

Transit & Bike

Transit 26Bike 35

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesLead to verifyListing checked 9 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress test assumes GBP 0. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +2.4% (HIGH), sold-comps -26.5%, £/sqft -26.3%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100020196392· as of 12 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 22.1%· as of 24 Oct 2026
Rental economics4.3/40
gross yield 5.6%; range width penalty ×0.87
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1500/mo (range 1350-1600)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -380/mo, -25% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; disclosed service charge and ground rent); fails the stress - earns nothing; leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress assumes GBP 0
- listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advert· as of 9 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 320 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 9 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
213 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£240,000£368,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£320,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,500/mo

Evidenced range £1,350-£1,600

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £103,300
Net cash flow: -£42/mo
Cash on cash: -0.5%
Score at this price: 19

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.39 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100020196392Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 22.1%Valuation edge · as of 24 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1500/mo (range 1350-1600)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advertStress margin · as of 9 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 9 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1500/mo (range 1350-1600)
Stress margin needs verification before you rely on it
service charge / ground rent from the advert

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£328,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,500

Gross Yield5.62%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-0.2%

5y Growth+1.9%

10y Growth+2.8%

Last Sold Price£330,000 (2022-06-27)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningModerate
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0DA5 3LD

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/02053/FUL
Replacement of existing windows with uPVC double-glazed windows and communal entrance doors to be replaced with uPVC to match existing.
Pending
26/02056/FUL
Replacement of existing windows with uPVC double-glazed windows.
Pending
26/02054/FUL
Replacement of existing windows with uPVC double-glazed windows and communal entrance doors to be replaced with uPVC to match existing.
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership67.6%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining85 yrs
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeLeasehold
Last Ownership Change2022-06-27
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

9 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£36,883

Population Density4,857 /km²

Owner Occupied73%

Age Distribution

0-15 21%16-64 63%65+ 16%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Hurst Primary School
0.2 mi
Good
Royal Park Primary Academy
0.6 mi
Good
Old Bexley Church of England School
0.6 mi
Good
Hurstmere School
0.6 mi
Inspected as Hurstmere School (URN 137368) on 27 Sep 2022

5 of 12 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

3 Esher Close
-
£325k
-
1 Esher Close
-
£330k
-
12 Esher Close
-
£325k
-
8 Esher Close
-
£315k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN