16 Clifton Close, Orpington, BR6 7DQ

UPRN:100020453471Purpose Built Flat2 bedsBuilt 1967-1975

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band CEPC: C (77)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· freshEPC· 3mo agoRisk· 5mo agoCrime· freshConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 1mo ago

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

3 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£360,000

£342k - £378kHigh

Estimate

£360k

Range

£342k – £378k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,650

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£1,650

Yield

4.95%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

16 Clifton Close earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 68/100. Investment score 60/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is limited (47/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

68/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

60/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

21/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

47/ 100

Mixed

Transit & Bike

Transit 26Bike 57

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence1 independent sourceLead to verifyListing checked 10 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress test assumes GBP 0. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge0.5/15
claims [AVM -11.1% (HIGH), sold-comps +2.7%, £/sqft +2.6%] → measured edge +0.10pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp; asking more than 10% above the estimate (measured -0.33pp)
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 14 Nov 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100020453471· as of 14 Nov 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 19.3%· as of 9 Nov 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 5.0%; range width penalty ×0.90
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1650/mo (range 1500-1750)· as of 14 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -605/mo, -37% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing; leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress assumes GBP 0
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 10 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 113 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 10 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
459 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£300,000£460,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£400,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,650/mo

Evidenced range £1,500-£1,750

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £131,300
Net cash flow: -£208/mo
Cash on cash: -1.9%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.22 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100020453471Valuation edge · as of 14 Nov 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 19.3%Valuation edge · as of 9 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1650/mo (range 1500-1750)Rental economics · as of 14 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 10 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 10 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1650/mo (range 1500-1750)
Stress margin needs verification before you rely on it
costs not disclosed by the advert

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£360,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,650

Gross Yield4.95%

1y Growth+4.8%

3y Growth+0.3%

5y Growth+1.9%

10y Growth+2.3%

Last Sold Price£330,000 (2024-06-28)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonModerate
MiningSignificant
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0BR6 7DQ

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/04262/HPA
Construction of a first-floor side extension above existing garage, a part two storey rear, and a single-storey rear extension, with elevational alterations, and a replacement front entrance canopy.
Pending
23/00848/CON15
Details submitted to comply with the requirements of the following conditions relating to planning permission 23/00848/S73A1: Condition - 14(ii) - Secure by Design measures Condition - 22 - Electric vehicle charging points
Pending
26/04063/HPA
Garage conversion, replacement of the garage door with window and installation of porch
Pending

View Planning Timeline