18 Fairview Drive, Orpington, BR6 9NX

UPRN:100020458046-Beds -Built 1950-1966

Tenure: -Council Tax: Band EEPC: D (57)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· 1mo agoEPC· 3mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

6 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

17 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£632,000

£601k - £664kHigh

Estimate

£632k

Range

£601k – £664k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£2,100

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£2,100

Yield

4.06%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

18 Fairview Drive earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 75/100. Investment score 61/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is limited (53/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)Defra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

75/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

61/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

16/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

53/ 100

Moderate

Transit & Bike

Transit 70Bike 58

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 3 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +1.9% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100020458046· as of 12 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.1%; range width penalty ×0.77
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2100/mo (range 1900-2350)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
- listing_factslisting text signals condition works - budget before trusting any yield· as of 3 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -1,202/mo, -57% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 3 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 112 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 3 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
459 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£465,000£713,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£620,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£2,100/mo

Evidenced range £1,900-£2,350

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £208,300
Net cash flow: -£639/mo
Cash on cash: -3.7%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.00 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100020458046Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2100/mo (range 1900-2350)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factslisting text signals condition works - budget before trusting any yieldRental economics · as of 3 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 3 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 3 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 2100/mo (range 1900-2350)
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
listing text signals condition works - budget before trusting any yield

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
4. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£632,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£2,100

Gross Yield4.06%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+0.3%

5y Growth+1.9%

10y Growth+2.3%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonModerate
MiningModerate
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

1BR6 9NX

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/04262/HPA
Construction of a first-floor side extension above existing garage, a part two storey rear, and a single-storey rear extension, with elevational alterations, and a replacement front entrance canopy.
Pending
23/00848/CON15
Details submitted to comply with the requirements of the following conditions relating to planning permission 23/00848/S73A1: Condition - 14(ii) - Secure by Design measures Condition - 22 - Electric vehicle charging points
Pending
26/04113/TPO
T1 Oak - Deadwood and lift canopy by 3m for light. SUBJECT TO TPO 1170 (14.11.1994)
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership65.1%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease Type-
Last Ownership Change-
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

17 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£43,981

Population Density5,767 /km²

Owner Occupied91%

Age Distribution

0-15 20%16-64 56%65+ 24%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Tubbenden Primary School
0.2 mi
Good
Newstead Wood School
0.4 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Farnborough Primary School
0.4 mi
Good
Warren Road Primary School
0.6 mi
Outstanding

5 of 11 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

2 Fairview Drive
-
£545k
-
16 Fairview Drive
-
£525k
-
5 Fairview Drive
-
£606k
-
11 Fairview Drive
-
£590k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN