10 Northwood Road, Harefield, Uxbridge, UB9 6PW

UPRN:100021490195Semi-Detached HouseBeds -Built 1930-1949

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band EEPC: E (39)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

10 Northwood Road, Harefield, Uxbridge, UB9 6PW

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

3 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

20 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£583,000

£525k - £641kMedium

Estimate

£583k

Range

£525k – £641k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£2,300

£2k - £3k

Monthly

£2,300

Yield

4.80%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

10 Northwood Road earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 71/100. Investment score 64/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is limited (58/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

71/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

64/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

33/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

58/ 100

Moderate

Transit & Bike

Transit 35Bike 42

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 5 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +1.4% (MEDIUM), sold-comps -8.3%, £/sqft -8.3%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100021490195· as of 13 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 11 comps, dispersion 14.4%· as of 1 Nov 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.8%; range width penalty ×0.81
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2300/mo (range 2050-2500)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -865/mo, -38% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 5 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 47 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 5 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.9/15
129 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£431,000£661,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£575,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£2,300/mo

Evidenced range £2,050-£2,500

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £192,550
Net cash flow: -£348/mo
Cash on cash: -2.2%
Score at this price: 13

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.19 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100021490195Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 11 comps, dispersion 14.4%Valuation edge · as of 1 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2300/mo (range 2050-2500)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 5 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 5 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 2300/mo (range 2050-2500)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 47 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£583,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£2,300

Gross Yield4.80%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+2.8%

5y Growth+0.5%

10y Growth+1.9%

Last Sold Price£440,000 (2019-04-12)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningModerate
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0UB9 6PW

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

17709/APP/2026/2075
Details pursuant to the discharge of Conditions 24 (Circular Economy Monitoring Report) and 25 (Whole Life-Cycle Carbon Assessment) of planning permission ref. 17709/APP/2023/2673, dated 08-02-2024 (Demolition of former residential school and erection of academic building (Use Class F1) and ancillary structures including heat pump and substation enclosures, construction of a multi-use games area, revised vehicular access, landscaping, car and cycle parking and associated works.)
Approved
22901/APP/2026/2013
Erection of single storey front infill and side extension
Approved
17709/APP/2026/1923
Details pursuant to the discharge of Conditions 19 (Fire Statement), 22 (Energy Monitoring), 29 (Secure by Design), and 30 (Contaminated Land) of planning permission ref. 17709/APP/2023/2673, dated 08-02-2024 (Demolition of former residential school and erection of academic building (Use Class F1) and ancillary structures including heat pump and substation enclosures, construction of a multi-use games area, revised vehicular access, landscaping, car and cycle parking and associated works.)
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership69.3%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2019-04-12
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

17 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£36,429

Population Density226 /km²

Owner Occupied62%

Age Distribution

0-15 17%16-64 62%65+ 21%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Harefield Infant and Junior School
0.1 mi
Good
Harefield School
0.3 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Maple Cross Junior Mixed Infant and Nursery School
1.7 mi
Good
Denham Green E-ACT Primary Academy
1.8 mi
Good

3 of 10 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

2 Northwood Road
-
£695k
-
Ground Floor Flat, 14A Northwood Road
-
£390k
-
12 Northwood Road
-
£594k
-
34A Northwood Road
-
£505k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN