14 Northfield Road, Caerleon, Newport, NP18 3FA

UPRN:10002153083Semi-Detached House3 bedsBuilt 1967-1975

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band DEPC: D (68)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· freshEPC· 2mo agoRisk· 2y agoCrime· freshConnectivity· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 1mo ago

14 Northfield Road, Caerleon, Newport, NP18 3FA

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

today

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

16 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£272,000

£245k - £299kMedium

Estimate

£272k

Range

£245k – £299k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,050

£950 - £1k

Monthly

£1,050

Yield

5.04%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

14 Northfield Road earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 81/100. Investment score 64/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)ONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

81/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

64/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

11/ 100

Low

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 11 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +8.1% (MEDIUM)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 14 Nov 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10002153083· as of 14 Nov 2026
Rental economics0.3/40
gross yield 5.0%; range width penalty ×0.82
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1050/mo (range 950-1150)· as of 14 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -413/mo, -39% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 11 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 73 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 11 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.9/15
177 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£187,500£287,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£250,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,050/mo

Evidenced range £950-£1,150

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £78,800
Net cash flow: -£117/mo
Cash on cash: -1.8%
Score at this price: 13

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.24 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10002153083Valuation edge · as of 14 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1050/mo (range 950-1150)Rental economics · as of 14 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 11 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 11 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1050/mo (range 950-1150)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 73 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£272,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,050

Gross Yield5.04%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+0.6%

5y Growth+2.3%

10y Growth+4.1%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonModerate
MiningLow
LandslideModerate
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0NP18 3FA

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/0855
S73 APPLICATION TO REMOVE CONDITION 2 (PERMISSION EXPIRY) AND VARY CONDITION 3 (USE AND OPENING HOURS) OF 23/0361 SITING OF STEEL CONTAINER FOR USE AS COMMUNITY PANTRY AND CREATION OF PATIO FOR ASSOCIATED ACTIVITIES
Pending
26/0839
S73 APPLICATION TO VARY CONDITION 1 (APPROVED PLANS) OF 26/0101 PROPOSED REAR TWO STOREY EXTENSION OVER EXISTING SINGLE STOREY ELEMENTS WITH ASSOCIATED WORKS INCLUDING RELOCATION OF EXISTING GARAGE, EXTENDED PARKING AREA AND REPLACEMENT FRONT BOUNDARY FENCING. AMENDMENTS INCLUDE CHANGES TO WINDOW DETAILS
Pending
26/0840
S19 APPLICATION TO VARY CONDITION 1 (APPROVED PLANS) OF 26/0342 LISTED BUILDING CONSENT FOR A PROPOSED REAR TWO STOREY EXTENSION OVER EXISTING SINGLE STOREY ELEMENTS WITH ASSOCIATED WORKS INCLUDING RELOCATION OF EXISTING GARAGE, EXTENDED PARKING AREA AND REPLACEMENT FRONT BOUNDARY FENCING
Pending

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