4 Francis Court, Cranes Park Avenue, Surbiton, KT5 8BU

UPRN:100021786978Purpose Built Flat2 bedsBuilt 1976-1982

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band DEPC: C (78)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· freshEPC· 3mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

4 Francis Court, Cranes Park Avenue, Surbiton, KT5 8BU

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

today

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£419,000

£398k - £440kHigh

Estimate

£419k

Range

£398k – £440k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,950

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£1,950

Yield

5.85%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

4 Francis Court earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 88/100. Investment score 81/100 reflects strong fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is excellent (87/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

88/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

81/ 100

High

Crime Score

11/ 100

Low

Walkability

87/ 100

Excellent

Transit & Bike

Transit 58Bike 70

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence1 independent sourceListing checked 9 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge2.5/15
claims [AVM +4.5% (HIGH), sold-comps +19.2%, £/sqft +19.2%] → measured edge +0.50pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100021786978· as of 12 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 9 comps, dispersion 11.5%· as of 28 Oct 2026
Rental economics6.4/40
gross yield 5.9%; range width penalty ×0.94
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1950/mo (range 1800-2050)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -456/mo, -23% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; disclosed service charge and ground rent); fails the stress - earns nothing
- listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advert· as of 9 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 2 price cut(s), 99 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 9 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
184 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£300,000£460,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£400,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,950/mo

Evidenced range £1,800-£2,050

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £131,300
Net cash flow: -£0/mo
Cash on cash: -0.0%
Score at this price: 24

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.44 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100021786978Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 9 comps, dispersion 11.5%Valuation edge · as of 28 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1950/mo (range 1800-2050)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advertStress margin · as of 9 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 9 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1950/mo (range 1800-2050)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 2 price cut(s), 99 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
2 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
4. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£419,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,950

Gross Yield5.85%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+2.8%

5y Growth+1.5%

10y Growth+1.6%

Last Sold Price£425,000 (2020-08-04)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0KT5 8BU

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/02353/TCA
T1: Eucalyptus - Reduce the height by 2- 2.5 metres and remove the scaffold limb over the fence. T3: Birch - Reduce by 1.5 metres.
Pending
26/02344/TCA
T1: Cherry - Reduce by 1 metre. T2: Green gage - Reduce by 50 cm.
Pending
26/02313/TPO
T1: Silver Birch - 0.5-1m Crown reduction.
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership73.5%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining999+ yrs
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeLeasehold
Last Ownership Change2020-08-04
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

17 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£41,833

Population Density6,868 /km²

Owner Occupied62%

Age Distribution

0-15 18%16-64 71%65+ 11%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Surbiton High School
0.2 mi
Inspected by ISI
The Hollyfield School and Sixth Form Centre
0.2 mi
Inspected as The Hollyfield School and Sixth Form Centre (URN 102600) on 11 May 2011
St John's C of E Primary School
0.3 mi
Good
Bedelsford School
0.4 mi
Outstanding

2 of 8 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

Francis Court Cranes Park Avenue
-
£435k
-
Francis Court Cranes Park Avenue
-
£418k
-
Francis Court Cranes Park Avenue
-
£385k
-
Francis Court Cranes Park Avenue
-
£400k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN