30 St Josephs Vale, London, SE3 0XF

UPRN:100022007015Terrace Property3 bedsBuilt 1983-1990

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band FEPC: C (76)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· freshEPC· 4mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 6mo ago

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

2 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

20 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£788,000

£749k - £828kHigh

Estimate

£788k

Range

£749k – £828k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£3,100

£3k - £3k

Monthly

£3,100

Yield

4.74%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

30 St Josephs Vale earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 62/100. Investment score 72/100 reflects strong fundamentals. Crime intensity is elevated. Walkability is good (84/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

62/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

72/ 100

High

100

Crime Score

100/ 100

Elevated

Walkability

84/ 100

High

Transit & Bike

Transit 36Bike 67

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 5 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +0.4% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100022007015· as of 9 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.7%; range width penalty ×0.78
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3100/mo (range 2750-3400)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -1,163/mo, -38% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 5 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 311 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 5 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
343 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£589,000£902,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£785,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£3,100/mo

Evidenced range £2,750-£3,400

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £266,050
Net cash flow: -£503/mo
Cash on cash: -2.3%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.17 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100022007015Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3100/mo (range 2750-3400)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 5 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 5 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 3100/mo (range 2750-3400)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 311 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£788,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£3,100

Gross Yield4.74%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+3.4%

5y Growth+0.8%

10y Growth+0.3%

Last Sold Price£499,950 (2013-11-15)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningSignificant
LandslideModerate
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0SE3 0XF

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

DC/26/145953
Schedule 1 application for discharge of details submitted pursuant to Condition 5(b)-Archaeological Written Scheme of Investigation and Condition 6(a)-Window Details of planning permission DC/26/142997 dated 23rd April 2026 at Brigade Works, Brigade Street SE3.
Pending
DC/26/145863
Schedule 1 application for discharge of details submitted pursuant to Condition 3(a)(iii)(v)(vi)-Materials and Architectural Details of planning permission DC/26/143114 dated 22nd May 2026 at 3 Eliot Place SE3.
Pending
DC/26/145868
Schedule 1 application for discharge of details submitted pursuant to Condition 6-Soft Landscaping of planning permission DC/25/140532 dated 15th October 2025 at 62 Belmont Hill SE13.
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership51.4%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2013-11-15
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

17 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£39,505

Population Density6,221 /km²

Owner Occupied49%

Age Distribution

0-15 17%16-64 73%65+ 10%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Christ The King Sixth Form College
0.2 mi
-
St Matthew Academy
0.2 mi
Area grades2025
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
John Ball Primary School
0.4 mi
Outstanding
All Saints' Church of England Primary School Blackheath
0.4 mi
Good

3 of 12 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

42 St Josephs Vale
-
£950k
-
24 St Josephs Vale
-
£775k
-
3 St Josephs Vale
-
£750k
-
14 St Josephs Vale
-
£625k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN