45 Tarragon Close, London, SE14 6DL

UPRN:100022011626Mid Terrace House2 bedsBuilt 1983-1990

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band DEPC: C (72)

Data freshness:Price Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

3 days ago

Verdict: AVOID, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Significant risk factors

Evidence

20 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£548,000

£521k - £576kHigh

Estimate

£548k

Range

£521k – £576k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£2,600

£2k - £3k

Monthly

£2,600

Yield

6.24%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

45 Tarragon Close earns an AVOID rating with HP Score 78/100. Investment score 70/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is excellent (85/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

78/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

70/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

31/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

85/ 100

Excellent

Transit & Bike

Transit 57Bike 73

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 28 Oct 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +8.8% (HIGH), sold-comps -0.4%, £/sqft -0.3%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100022011626· as of 13 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 7 comps, dispersion 7.4%· as of 31 Oct 2026
Rental economics8.5/40
gross yield 6.2%; range width penalty ×0.85
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2600/mo (range 2400-2850)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -328/mo, -13% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 28 Oct 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 36 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 28 Oct 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
159 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£375,000£575,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£500,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£2,600/mo

Evidenced range £2,400-£2,850

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £166,300
Net cash flow: £112/mo
Cash on cash: 0.8%
Score at this price: 23

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.54 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100022011626Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 7 comps, dispersion 7.4%Valuation edge · as of 31 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2600/mo (range 2400-2850)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 28 Oct 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 28 Oct 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 2600/mo (range 2400-2850)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 36 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£548,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£2,600

Gross Yield6.24%

1y Growth-15.6%

3y Growth-1.5%

5y Growth-2.4%

10y Growth+1.5%

Last Sold Price£450,000 (2021-04-30)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningModerate
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0SE14 6DL

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

DC/26/145862
Application for a Lawful Development Certificate (proposed) submitted under Section 191 of the Town & Country Planning Act 1990 (as amended) for the use of the two studios as two self-contained residential units (Use Class C3) at 30 Billington Road.
Pending
DC/26/145872
Construction of a single storey rear and side extension at 7a Billington Road, SE14.
Pending
DC/26/145855
We are writing to give a 5 day notification of the removal of a dead Cherry tree located in the rear garden of 22 Arbuthnot Road
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership62.5%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining14 yrs
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2021-04-30
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

14 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£39,505

Population Density-

Owner Occupied33%

Age Distribution

0-15 16%16-64 79%65+ 5%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Haberdashers' Hatcham Primary
0.2 mi
Good
Childeric Primary School
0.3 mi
Good
Deptford Green School
0.3 mi
Good
St James's Hatcham Church of England Primary School
0.4 mi
Inspected as St James's Hatcham Church of England Primary School (URN 100727) on 5 May 2023

1 of 13 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

6 Tarragon Close
-
£600k
-
5A Tarragon Close
-
£500k
-
39 Tarragon Close
-
£500k
-
32 Tarragon Close
-
£520k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN