Data freshness:●Price Paid· freshPrice Paid: fresh, refreshed 3d ago (2026-11-01T02:26:33.543695+00:00)●EPC· 6mo agoEPC: stale, refreshed 6mo ago (2026-05-20T10:58:39.129138+00:00)●Risk· 5mo agoRisk: stale, refreshed 5mo ago (2026-06-18T00:00:00+00:00)●Connectivity· 1mo agoConnectivity: ageing, refreshed 1mo ago (2026-10-03T06:43:10.905825+00:00)●Amenities· 1mo agoAmenities: ageing, refreshed 1mo ago (2026-09-23T00:00:00+00:00)●Area· Census 2021Area: static reference data (Census 2021); authoritative and does not refresh
HP Score
80
/ 100
Strong
Verdict
3 days ago
Verdict: AVOID, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Significant risk factors
Evidence
19 of 21 sources
Sale Estimate
£917,000
£825k - £1.01MMedium
Estimate
£917k
Range
£825k – £1.01M
Rent Estimate (pcm)
£4,150
£4k - £5k
Monthly
£4,150
Yield
7.11%
Verdict
Derived from HomePortfolio scores
166 Upper Brockley Road earns an AVOID rating with HP Score 80/100. Investment score 72/100 reflects strong fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is excellent (89/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.
Raising of the roof eaves and ridge on all elevations and installation of rooflights to the front, side and rear at 59 Chalsey Road, SE4
Pending
DC/26/145828
Construction of a single storey extension and proposed glazing in the rear, together with the removal of 2 windows in the side/rear elevation at 1st floor level and all associated works at 92 Tyrwhitt Road SE4.
Pending
DC/26/145855
We are writing to give a 5 day notification of the removal of a dead Cherry tree located in the rear garden of 22 Arbuthnot Road
No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.
Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN
Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN
Opportunity
Why this could be an opportunity
30
Low confidence1 independent sourceLead to verifyListing checked 28 Oct 2026
This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.
Check before relying on this score: the estimate sits 24% above the ask. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.
Valuation edge2.5/15
claims [AVM +23.7% (MEDIUM), sold-comps +6.4%, £/sqft +6.4%] → measured edge +0.50pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100022015669· as of 13 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 7.8%· as of 1 Nov 2026
Rental economics14.2/40
gross yield 7.1%; range width penalty ×0.84; the estimate this rent rides on sits 24% above the ask - check the rent describes the advertised home
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 4150/mo (range 3750-4500)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
valuation_snapshotssale estimate 24% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
listing_factslisting text signals condition works - budget before trusting any yield· as of 28 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -33/mo, -1% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 28 Oct 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 70 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 28 Oct 2026
Risk & liquidity12.8/15
243 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
property_intelligencetransactions_12mo
4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.
Economics
What happens to your money
Price sensitivity
£525,000£805,000
The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.
Your assumptions
£700,000
At the asking price
£4,150/mo
Evidenced range £3,750-£4,500
5.4%
75%
Cash required
£236,300
Net cash flow
£511/mo
Cash on cash
2.6%
Score at this price
30
After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.76 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.
Evidence
Where every number comes from
valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100022015669Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 7.8%Valuation edge · as of 1 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 4150/mo (range 3750-4500)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
valuation_snapshotssale estimate 24% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this homeRental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factslisting text signals condition works - budget before trusting any yield
Risks
What could kill this deal
Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 4150/mo (range 3750-4500)
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
sale estimate 24% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home
Plan
Before you offer
1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The market estimate this rent rides on sits far above the asking price, so the rent may describe a different home.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
4. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.
Rental economics · as of 28 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 28 Oct 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 28 Oct 2026