Lower Manor Cottage, Thornbury, Holsworthy, EX22 7DD

UPRN:10002299982Detached House4 bedsBuilt before 1900

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band EEPC: D (58)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 4mo ago

Lower Manor Cottage, Thornbury, Holsworthy, EX22 7DD

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

6 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£752,000

£677k - £828kMedium

Estimate

£752k

Range

£677k – £828k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£2,400

£2k - £3k

Monthly

£2,400

Yield

2.95%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Lower Manor Cottage earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 54/100. Investment score 55/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (6/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

54/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

55/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

8/ 100

Low

Walkability

6/ 100

Low

Transit & Bike

Transit 3Bike 10

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesLead to verifyListing checked 2 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: the advert has 6 bedrooms but the valuation snapshot describes 4 - an extension, conversion or HMO the evidence does not reflect, or a different home. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge-0.6/15
claims [AVM -29.7% (MEDIUM)] → measured edge -0.12pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp; asking more than 10% above the estimate (measured -0.33pp)
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10002299982· as of 12 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 2.1% on contractual rent (listing-disclosed tenancy)
- listing_factscontractual rent 1666.67/mo (tenanted)· as of 2 Nov 2026
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -3,018/mo, -181% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 2 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 40 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 2 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.8/15
110 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£731,000£1,121,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£975,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£2,400/mo

Evidenced range £2,050-£2,700

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £335,050
Net cash flow: -£1,629/mo
Cash on cash: -5.8%
Score at this price: 12

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 0.73 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10002299982Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
listing_factscontractual rent 1666.67/mo (tenanted)Rental economics · as of 2 Nov 2026
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 2 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 2 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 40 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →flood, subsidence, crime, environment - the full domain

Plan

Before you offer

1. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£752,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£2,400

Gross Yield2.95%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-5.1%

5y Growth-1.1%

10y Growth+3.0%

Last Sold Price£500,000 (2014-08-15)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideModerate
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0EX22 7DD

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

1/0054/2026/DIS
Discharge of condition 3 in relation to planning approval 1/0532/2025/FUL (HMMP and BNG)
Approved
1/0945/2025/FUL
Erection of agricultural livestock and workshop building
Approved
1/0592/2025/FUL
Retrospective application for the use of building as an independent dwelling
Approved

View Planning Timeline