Flat 18, The Lion Brewery, St Thomas Street, Oxford, OX1 1JE

UPRN:10002415775Flat/Maisonette2 bedsBuilt 1996-2002

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band FEPC: C (79)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 1mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 3mo ago

Flat 18, The Lion Brewery, St Thomas Street, Oxford, OX1 1JE

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

6 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£673,000

£640k - £707kHigh

Estimate

£673k

Range

£640k – £707k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£3,650

£3k - £4k

Monthly

£3,650

Yield

7.30%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Flat 18 earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 62/100. Investment score 64/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is elevated. Walkability is excellent (96/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

62/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

64/ 100

Moderate

100

Crime Score

100/ 100

Elevated

Walkability

96/ 100

Excellent

Transit & Bike

Transit 76Bike 76

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Reduced confidence2 independent sourcesLead to verifyListing checked 3 Nov 2026

Fewer independent sources agree, or a component could not be scored.

Check before relying on this score: leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress test assumes GBP 0. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge2.5/15
claims [AVM +10.8% (HIGH), sold-comps +9.5%, £/sqft +9.4%] → measured edge +0.50pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 10 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10002415775· as of 10 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 7 comps, dispersion 8.8%· as of 1 Nov 2026
Rental economics17/40
gross yield 7.3%; range width penalty ×0.93
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3650/mo (range 3400-3900)· as of 10 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0.6/30
stressed cash flow +21/mo, +1% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); passes the stress; leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress assumes GBP 0
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 3 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 45 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 3 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
166 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivityScores 70+ up to £450,000

£450,000£690,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£600,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£3,650/mo

Evidenced range £3,400-£3,900

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £201,300
Net cash flow: £502/mo
Cash on cash: 3.0%
Score at this price: 35

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.80 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10002415775Valuation edge · as of 10 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 7 comps, dispersion 8.8%Valuation edge · as of 1 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3650/mo (range 3400-3900)Rental economics · as of 10 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 3 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 3 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is reduced
fewer independent sources agree, or a component could not be scored
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 3650/mo (range 3400-3900)
Stress margin needs verification before you rely on it
costs not disclosed by the advert

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Set your walk-away price before viewing - above £450,000 the deal stops scoring well.
Computed by re-running the score at higher prices.
3. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
4. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£673,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£3,650

Gross Yield7.30%

1y Growth-50.3%

3y Growth-0.5%

5y Growth+1.1%

10y Growth+2.2%

Last Sold Price£585,000 (2017-06-20)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideSignificant
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0OX1 1JE

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/00429/CND
Details submitted in compliance with condition 3 (Historic Building Recording) and 10 (Ecology requirements) of listed building consent 26/00429/LBC
Pending
26/02654/CAT
Works to 1no. Ash tree as specified by Oxford Tree Surgeons Ltd in the Jericho Conservation Area. T1. Ash Restructure the tree, leaving the pollard end cuts at about 25 ft, leaving The Crown in a balanced branch structure.
Approved
26/02637/CAT
Works to various trees as specified by Steve Howes in the Central conservation area.
Pending

View Planning Timeline