Flat 2, 81 The Ellers, Ulverston, LA12 0AQ

UPRN:10002461365Converted Flat2 bedsBuilt 2007 onwards

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: B (85)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· freshEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoCrime· freshConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

Flat 2, 81 The Ellers, Ulverston, LA12 0AQ

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£170,000

£162k - £179kHigh

Estimate

£170k

Range

£162k – £179k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,150

£1k - £1k

Monthly

£1,150

Yield

7.67%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Flat 2 earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 77/100. Investment score 69/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is moderate. Walkability is excellent (87/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

77/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

69/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

39/ 100

Elevated

Walkability

87/ 100

Excellent

Transit & Bike

Transit 2Bike 39

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence1 independent sourceLead to verifyListing checked 10 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress test assumes GBP 0. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -5.9% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10002461365· as of 12 Oct 2026
Rental economics20/40
gross yield 7.7%; range width penalty ×0.94
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1150/mo (range 1100-1250)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -44/mo, -4% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing; leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress assumes GBP 0
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 10 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 55 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 10 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
252 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£135,000£207,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£180,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,150/mo

Evidenced range £1,100-£1,250

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £56,400
Net cash flow: £189/mo
Cash on cash: 4.0%
Score at this price: 35

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.89 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10002461365Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1150/mo (range 1100-1250)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 10 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 10 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1150/mo (range 1100-1250)
Stress margin needs verification before you rely on it
costs not disclosed by the advert

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£170,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,150

Gross Yield7.67%

1y Growth+5.3%

3y Growth+0.0%

5y Growth+1.3%

10y Growth+3.7%

Last Sold Price£170,000 (2024-08-22)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonModerate
MiningSignificant
LandslideModerate
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0LA12 0AQ

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

2026/2074/FPA
Change of use of the upper floor of The Mill Public House from a cocktail bar (sui generis drinking establishment) to self-catering holiday accommodation (sui generis), including internal alterations to the internal layout
Pending
2026/2075/LBC
Listed Building Consent for internal alterations to facilitate the change of use of the upper floor of The Mill Public House from a cocktail bar (sui generis) to self-catering holiday accommodation (sui generis).
Pending
2026/2064/LBC
Listed Building Consent for Change of Use from a bank (Use Class E(c)(i)) to four flats (Use Class C3), including associated internal and external works
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership73.9%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining999+ yrs
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeLeasehold
Last Ownership Change2024-08-22
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

16 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£33,988

Population Density5,951 /km²

Owner Occupied58%

Age Distribution

0-15 13%16-64 66%65+ 21%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Sir John Barrow School
0.1 mi
Outstanding
Church Walk CofE Primary School
0.3 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
St Mary's Catholic Primary School, Ulverston
0.4 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Ulverston Victoria High School
0.5 mi
Area grades2025
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.

3 of 12 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

79 The Ellers
-
£150k
-
The Barley Mow, 81 The Ellers
-
£146k
-
42 The Ellers
-
£209k
-
The Barley Mow, 81 The Ellers
-
£170k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN