8 Kestrel Close, Carlton, Nottingham, NG4 1NS

UPRN:10002890069Mid Terrace House2 bedsBuilt 1983-1990

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band AEPC: C (73)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· freshEPC· 2mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 1mo ago

8 Kestrel Close, Carlton, Nottingham, NG4 1NS

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£150,000

£143k - £158kHigh

Estimate

£150k

Range

£143k – £158k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£900

£850 - £950

Monthly

£900

Yield

7.20%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

8 Kestrel Close earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 71/100. Investment score 51/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (43/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

71/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

51/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

8/ 100

Low

Walkability

43/ 100

Mixed

Transit & Bike

Transit 26Bike 37

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Reduced confidence2 independent sourcesListing checked 5 Nov 2026

Fewer independent sources agree, or a component could not be scored.

Valuation edge2.1/15
claims [AVM +0.0% (HIGH), sold-comps +2.6%, £/sqft +2.5%] → measured edge +0.41pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Nov 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10002890069· as of 9 Nov 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 18.8%· as of 9 Nov 2026
Rental economics17.2/40
gross yield 7.2%; range width penalty ×0.98
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 900/mo (range 850-950)· as of 9 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -101/mo, -11% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 5 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 102 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 5 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
456 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£112,500£172,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£150,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£900/mo

Evidenced range £850-£950

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £46,800
Net cash flow: £117/mo
Cash on cash: 3.0%
Score at this price: 34

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.78 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10002890069Valuation edge · as of 9 Nov 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 18.8%Valuation edge · as of 9 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 900/mo (range 850-950)Rental economics · as of 9 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 5 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 5 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is reduced
fewer independent sources agree, or a component could not be scored
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 900/mo (range 850-950)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 102 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£150,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£900

Gross Yield7.20%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+0.0%

5y Growth+3.4%

10y Growth+5.4%

Last Sold Price£155,000 (2022-02-02)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonLow
MiningModerate
LandslideModerate
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0NG4 1NS

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/01921/PWC
T22-27 - cherry - Crown lift to 3m over path T42 - Norway Maple - sever ivy T43 - Sycamore - sever ivy T54 - Sycamore - Reduce crown by 2-3m T1 - Crab Apple - Crown lift to 3m, Remove Deadwood T2 - Crab Apple - Crown lift to 3m, Remove Deadwood T3 - Turkish Hazel - Crown Reduce by 2m (additional to report) - to reduce height to below apartment window
Pending
2026/0727
Erection of 2-storey side extension with new gabled roof to front elevation
Pending
2026/0736
Change of Use from Residential Dwelling (C3) to a Residential Small Childrens Home (C2) Including Alterations to Property
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership78.4%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2022-02-02
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

9 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£30,051

Population Density6,224 /km²

Owner Occupied71%

Age Distribution

0-15 21%16-64 65%65+ 14%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Porchester Junior School
0.3 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Carlton Academy
0.5 mi
Good
Westdale Infant and Nursery
0.5 mi
Good
Thorneywood Education Base
0.5 mi
-

2 of 10 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

7 Kestrel Close
-
£153k
-
8 Kestrel Close
-
£155k
-
14 Kestrel Close
-
£136k
-
20 Kestrel Close
-
£171k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN