Forge Cottage, Old Great North Road, Great Casterton, Stamford, PE9 4AP

UPRN:100030726564Semi-Detached House4 bedsBuilt -

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band EEPC: -

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 3mo agoOwnership· freshRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 1mo ago

Forge Cottage, Old Great North Road, Great Casterton, Stamford, PE9 4AP

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£426,000

£404k - £447kHigh

Estimate

£426k

Range

£404k – £447k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,850

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£1,850

Yield

5.56%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Forge Cottage earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 68/100. Investment score 53/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (27/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

68/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

53/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

10/ 100

Low

Walkability

27/ 100

Low

Transit & Bike

Transit 7Bike 43

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 7 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +6.3% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 10 Nov 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100030726564· as of 10 Nov 2026
Rental economics4/40
gross yield 5.6%; range width penalty ×0.88
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1850/mo (range 1700-2000)· as of 10 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -454/mo, -25% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 7 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 135 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 7 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
348 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£299,000£459,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£399,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,850/mo

Evidenced range £1,700-£2,000

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £130,950
Net cash flow: -£66/mo
Cash on cash: -0.6%
Score at this price: 19

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.37 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100030726564Valuation edge · as of 10 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1850/mo (range 1700-2000)Rental economics · as of 10 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 7 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 7 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1850/mo (range 1700-2000)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 135 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£426,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,850

Gross Yield5.56%

1y Growth+118.9%

3y Growth-0.5%

5y Growth+0.3%

10y Growth+3.3%

Last Sold Price£180,000 (2024-10-21)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonModerate
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

2PE9 4AP

Approval Rate

100%12mo

Development

low

2026/1334/FUL
Garage Conversion and Rear Sunroom Replacement / Extension
Pending
2026/0869/DIS
Discharge of Condition No. 3 (Written Scheme of Investigation), Condition No. 5 (Materials), Condition No. 8 (Tree Protection), Condition No. 14 (Construction Management Plan), Condition No. 16 (Construction Environment Management Plan for Biodiversity), Condition No. 17 (Habitat Management and Monitoring Plan) and Condition No. 18 (Off Site Biodiversity Net Gain Units) on planning permission ref: 2025/1179/FUL (Alterations to existing buildings and the construction of new general industrial use buildings in conjunction with vehicular access improvements, car parking improvements and enhancement / improvements to landscaping and the biodiversity on the site. The retention of the B8 Storage units to the rear of the site. Associated works to include the installation of PV cells and EV car charging points. New site signage to be installed. Use Class B2 remain unchanged for the site).
Approved
2026/0777/FUL
Replacement of Ground and First Floor Windows and Infill Rear Sunroom Glazing, Doors and Roof
Approved

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership68%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2024-10-21
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

4 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£39,559

Population Density-

Owner Occupied70%

Age Distribution

0-15 21%16-64 56%65+ 23%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Great Casterton Church of England Primary School
0.1 mi
Area grades2025
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
Casterton College Rutland
0.3 mi
GoodConcerns
Malcolm Sargent Primary School
1.3 mi
Good
The Bluecoat School
1.9 mi
Area grades2025
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.

2 of 11 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

Willow Cottage Main Street
-
£475k
-
1 Strawsons Farmyard Main Street
-
£805k
-
13 Main Street
-
£560k
-
Forge Cottage Main Street
-
£180k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN