15 Low Toynton Road, Horncastle, LN9 5LL

UPRN:100030760334Detached House4 bedsBuilt 1967-1975

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band DEPC: D (66)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 5mo agoOwnership· freshEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoCrime· freshConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 4mo ago

15 Low Toynton Road, Horncastle, LN9 5LL

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

3 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£494,000

£469k - £518kHigh

Estimate

£494k

Range

£469k – £518k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,300

£1k - £1k

Monthly

£1,300

Yield

3.12%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

15 Low Toynton Road earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 69/100. Investment score 62/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (37/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)Defra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

69/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

62/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

11/ 100

Low

Walkability

37/ 100

Mixed

Transit & Bike

Transit 6Bike 65

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 9 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -1.2% (HIGH), sold-comps -16.8%, £/sqft -16.8%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 14 Nov 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100030760334· as of 14 Nov 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 7 comps, dispersion 22.1%· as of 10 Nov 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 3.1%; range width penalty ×0.74
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1300/mo (range 1150-1450)· as of 14 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -1,284/mo, -99% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 9 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 36 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 9 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.7/15
127 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£375,000£575,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£500,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,300/mo

Evidenced range £1,150-£1,450

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £166,300
Net cash flow: -£788/mo
Cash on cash: -5.7%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 0.77 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100030760334Valuation edge · as of 14 Nov 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 7 comps, dispersion 22.1%Valuation edge · as of 10 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1300/mo (range 1150-1450)Rental economics · as of 14 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 9 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 9 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1300/mo (range 1150-1450)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 36 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£494,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,300

Gross Yield3.12%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-3.7%

5y Growth-2.2%

10y Growth+1.4%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0LN9 5LL

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

01732/26/DPC
Confirmation that and condition 18 (balconies for plots 7 and 8 only) imposed on Planning Permission ref. no. S/086/02530/07 have been discharged.
Pending
01545/26/DPC
Discharge of condition 3 (written scheme of investigation) imposed on 01042/26/LBA.
Approved
01523/26/FUL
Planning Permission - Erection of a detached building comprising of a store, log store and car port.
Pending

View Planning Timeline