Orchard House, Goulceby Road, Ranby, Market Rasen, LN8 5LN

UPRN:100030780387Detached House4 bedsBuilt 1930-1949

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band DEPC: D (61)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 1mo agoOwnership· freshEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoCrime· freshConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 1mo ago

Orchard House, Goulceby Road, Ranby, Market Rasen, LN8 5LN

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

today

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£548,000

£521k - £576kHigh

Estimate

£548k

Range

£521k – £576k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£2,100

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£2,100

Yield

4.80%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Orchard House earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 52/100. Investment score 54/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (0/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

52/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

54/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

12/ 100

Low

Walkability

0/ 100

Low

Transit & Bike

Transit 5Bike 29

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 9 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +4.2% (HIGH), sold-comps -9.6%, £/sqft -9.7%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 14 Nov 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100030780387· as of 14 Nov 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 7 comps, dispersion 11.3%· as of 12 Nov 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.8%; range width penalty ×0.82
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2100/mo (range 1900-2300)· as of 14 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -801/mo, -38% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 9 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 107 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 9 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
211 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£394,000£604,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£525,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£2,100/mo

Evidenced range £1,900-£2,300

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £175,050
Net cash flow: -£318/mo
Cash on cash: -2.2%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.19 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100030780387Valuation edge · as of 14 Nov 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 7 comps, dispersion 11.3%Valuation edge · as of 12 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2100/mo (range 1900-2300)Rental economics · as of 14 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 9 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 9 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 2100/mo (range 1900-2300)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 107 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
4. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£548,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£2,100

Gross Yield4.80%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-3.2%

5y Growth-0.5%

10y Growth+4.0%

Last Sold Price£375,000 (2017-06-26)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

1LN8 5LN

Approval Rate

100%12mo

Development

low

00713/26/DPC
Discharge of condition 4 (materials), 5 (solar panel details), 6 (optional water efficiency requirement), 8 (landscaping), 12 (written scheme of archaeological investigation), 13 (archaeological site work) and 14 (report, archiving and depositing) imposed on planning permission ref. no. 02127/25/FUL.
Approved
03378/25/DPC
Discharge condition 12 (archaeology) imposed on 02127/25/FUL.
Pending
02127/25/FUL
Planning Permission - Erection of a replacement dwelling, detached double garage and office, tennis court, vehicular access and all associated works.
Approved

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership78.7%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2017-06-26
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

2 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£26,705

Population Density18 /km²

Owner Occupied77%

Age Distribution

0-15 12%16-64 55%65+ 33%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

The Donington-on-Bain School
2.7 mi
Good
Scamblesby Church of England Primary School
2.9 mi
GoodConcerns
Queen Elizabeth's Grammar School, Horncastle
5.8 mi
Good
Wragby Primary School
5.8 mi
Area grades2024
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.

4 of 13 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

Old School House
-
£265k
-
Trankeldales
-
£460k
-
Ranby Grange
-
£7.84M
-
Ranby Hill Barn
-
£695k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN