16 The Green, Welbourn, Lincoln, LN5 0NJ

UPRN:100030857060Terrace Property2 bedsBuilt before 1900

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band BEPC: E (50)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· freshEPC· 4mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 4mo ago

16 The Green, Welbourn, Lincoln, LN5 0NJ

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

2 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£199,000

£189k - £209kHigh

Estimate

£199k

Range

£189k – £209k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£800

£700 - £850

Monthly

£800

Yield

5.19%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

16 The Green earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 65/100. Investment score 57/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (20/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)Defra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

65/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

57/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

12/ 100

Low

Walkability

20/ 100

Low

Transit & Bike

Transit 8Bike 22

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 2 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +7.0% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100030857060· as of 12 Oct 2026
Rental economics1.2/40
gross yield 5.2%; range width penalty ×0.82
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 800/mo (range 700-850)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -322/mo, -40% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 2 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 26 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 2 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
423 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£139,000£212,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£185,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£800/mo

Evidenced range £700-£850

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £58,000
Net cash flow: -£71/mo
Cash on cash: -1.5%
Score at this price: 16

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.28 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100030857060Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 800/mo (range 700-850)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 2 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 2 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 800/mo (range 700-850)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 26 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£199,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£800

Gross Yield5.19%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-0.3%

5y Growth-0.5%

10y Growth+2.6%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonModerate
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

9LN5 0NJ

Approval Rate

100%12mo

Development

low

26/1331/VARCON
Application to remove condition 2 (Ancillary use) and vary condition 8 (Plans) attached to planning permission 26/0870/HOUS - Demolition of ancillary storage structures and erection of new outbuilding / garage (Remove condition 2, install dormer windows and additional rooflights, re-positioning of solar panels and install timber oak garage and workshop doors with window lights to outbuilding)
Pending
26/1272/FUL
Conversion of commercial building to form a dwelling with a ground floor office
Pending
26/1257/TPO
T31 - Sycamore - crown lift lowest branches over building and garden, remove any deadwood over 70mm and sever ivy. T23 - Sycamore - crown lift lowest branches over hanging building and road, removal of epicormic/basal growth at the base of the tree, removal of deadwood over 70mm and sever ivy. Client may end up looking at a full removal if they put this building into a residential property, as the tree has heavily overgrown the building and any further works than a crown lift will be too much for the tree. If this is an option I will need to inform the client. T29 - Beech - Crown lift over hanging branches, as shown in annotated photo, to clear Northeastern drive. (See 26/1258/TCA for other detail)
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership73.5%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change-
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

3 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£30,585

Population Density-

Owner Occupied75%

Age Distribution

0-15 12%16-64 55%65+ 33%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

The Welbourn Church of England Primary School
0.2 mi
Good
Sir William Robertson Academy, Welbourn
0.5 mi
-
Leadenham Church of England Academy
1.4 mi
Area grades2025
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
Navenby Church of England Primary School
2.9 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.

1 of 13 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

18 The Green
-
£220k
-
The Old Coop The Green
-
£145k
-
50 The Green
-
£225k
-
21 The Green
-
£274k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN