9 Dog and Duck Lane, Morton, Gainsborough, DN21 3BB

UPRN:100030950155Semi-Detached House2 bedsBuilt -

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band BEPC: -

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· freshRisk· 5mo agoCrime· freshConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 1mo ago

9 Dog and Duck Lane, Morton, Gainsborough, DN21 3BB

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

17 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£162,000

£154k - £170kHigh

Estimate

£162k

Range

£154k – £170k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,000

£950 - £1k

Monthly

£1,000

Yield

7.50%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

9 Dog and Duck Lane earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 72/100. Investment score 57/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (47/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)Defra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

72/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

57/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

13/ 100

Low

Walkability

47/ 100

Mixed

Transit & Bike

Transit 15Bike 32

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence1 independent sourceListing checked 12 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +1.2% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Nov 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100030950155· as of 9 Nov 2026
Rental economics20/40
gross yield 7.5%; range width penalty ×1.00
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1000/mo (range 950-1050)· as of 9 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -70/mo, -7% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 12 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 270 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 12 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.7/15
485 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£120,000£184,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£160,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,000/mo

Evidenced range £950-£1,050

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £50,000
Net cash flow: £152/mo
Cash on cash: 3.7%
Score at this price: 35

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.85 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100030950155Valuation edge · as of 9 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1000/mo (range 950-1050)Rental economics · as of 9 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 12 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 12 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1000/mo (range 950-1050)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 270 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£162,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,000

Gross Yield7.50%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-2.1%

5y Growth+1.1%

10y Growth+2.2%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0DN21 3BB

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

151509
T1 Lime - Pollard back to previous pollard point. T3 of Tree Preservation Order Morton 2000.
Pending
151504
Planning application for the siting of bronze statue.
Pending
151400
Request for confirmation of compliance with condition 1 (commencement of works) of planning permission WL/2024/00817 granted 24 December 2024.
Pending

View Planning Timeline