21 Fern Close, Bilsthorpe, Newark, NG22 8UE

UPRN:100031444167Mid Terrace House3 bedsBuilt 1996-2002

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band AEPC: C (71)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· 1mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

21 Fern Close, Bilsthorpe, Newark, NG22 8UE

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

6 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£171,000

£154k - £188kMedium

Estimate

£171k

Range

£154k – £188k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£950

£900 - £1k

Monthly

£950

Yield

6.33%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

21 Fern Close earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 68/100. Investment score 68/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is limited (36/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

68/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

68/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

26/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

36/ 100

Mixed

Transit & Bike

Transit 14Bike 24

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 4 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -5.3% (MEDIUM)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100031444167· as of 13 Oct 2026
Rental economics9.4/40
gross yield 6.3%; range width penalty ×0.88
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 950/mo (range 900-1050)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -191/mo, -20% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 4 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 68 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 4 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.9/15
255 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£135,000£207,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£180,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£950/mo

Evidenced range £900-£1,050

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £56,400
Net cash flow: £50/mo
Cash on cash: 1.1%
Score at this price: 22

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.56 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100031444167Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 950/mo (range 900-1050)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 4 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 4 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 950/mo (range 900-1050)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 68 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£171,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£950

Gross Yield6.33%

1y Growth+32.8%

3y Growth-0.8%

5y Growth+1.8%

10y Growth+4.1%

Last Sold Price£124,995 (2024-05-02)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0NG22 8UE

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/01551/HOUSE
Erection of a Double garage to the rear
Pending
26/01488/PIP
Application for permission in principle for a minimum of 1 dwelling and maximum of 9 dwellings
Pending
26/01409/DISCON
Request for confirmation to discharge conditions 3 (BNG) and 4 (Partial) (CEMP: BNG) attached to planning permissio 25/00409/FUL Construction of a new Parish Hall, new multi use games area outdoor court, new phased play ground, bin and bicycle store and new car park.
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership61.3%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2024-05-02
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

18 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£29,806

Population Density-

Owner Occupied86%

Age Distribution

0-15 13%16-64 61%65+ 26%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Bilsthorpe Flying High Academy
0.2 mi
Good
Farnsfield St Michael's Church of England Primary School
2.2 mi
Good
Kirklington Primary School
2.5 mi
Inspected as Kirklington Primary School (URN 122653) on 31 Jan 2023
Dukes Wood School
2.6 mi
Good

2 of 12 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

21 Fern Close
-
£125k
-
20 Fern Close
-
£135k
-
22 Fern Close
-
£128k
-
14 Fern Close
-
£117k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN