4 Denham Lodge, Oxford Road, Denham, Uxbridge, UB9 4AA

UPRN:10003236552Flat/Maisonette3 bedsBuilt 1950-1966

Tenure: -Council Tax: -EPC: C (73)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

4 Denham Lodge, Oxford Road, Denham, Uxbridge, UB9 4AA

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

2 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£328,000

£312k - £345kHigh

Estimate

£328k

Range

£312k – £345k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,550

£1k - £2k

Monthly

£1,550

Yield

6.20%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

4 Denham Lodge earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 80/100. Investment score 70/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is excellent (86/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)Defra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

80/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

70/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

30/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

86/ 100

Excellent

Transit & Bike

Transit 22Bike 64

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence1 independent sourceLead to verifyListing checked 4 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress test assumes GBP 0. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge2.5/15
claims [AVM +8.5% (HIGH), sold-comps +34.8%, £/sqft +34.8%] → measured edge +0.50pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10003236552· as of 9 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 13.1%· as of 21 Oct 2026
Rental economics8.4/40
gross yield 6.2%; range width penalty ×0.88
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1550/mo (range 1450-1700)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -256/mo, -17% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing; leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress assumes GBP 0
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 4 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 100 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 4 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
129 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£225,000£345,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£300,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,550/mo

Evidenced range £1,450-£1,700

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £96,300
Net cash flow: £61/mo
Cash on cash: 0.8%
Score at this price: 26

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.53 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10003236552Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 13.1%Valuation edge · as of 21 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1550/mo (range 1450-1700)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 4 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 4 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1550/mo (range 1450-1700)
Stress margin needs verification before you rely on it
costs not disclosed by the advert

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£328,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,550

Gross Yield6.20%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+2.8%

5y Growth+0.5%

10y Growth+1.9%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningModerate
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0UB9 4AA

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

PL/26/07981/FA
Construction of a Flash Charging Electric Vehicle Hub which includes a charging upstand, power cabinet unit and self-contained energy buffer units purpose-built for high-rate DC charging infrastructure and associated works
Pending
38074/APP/2026/2409
Variation of conditions 5 (details of lighting), 6 (contamination) and 7 (decking details) of planning permission reference 38074/APP/2026/1405, dated 17-08-26 (Replacement of existing rear ramp and construction of rear terrace with associated structures. Refurbishment of the existing fourth floor terrace with associated structures and landscaping. Construction of front entrance canopy. Alterations to existing facade glazing. Reorganisation and provision of car and cycle parking, hard and soft landscaping works and associated development.) The application seeks to amend the wording of Conditions 5 (details of lighting) and 7 (decking details) to compliance conditions and to amend the wording of Condition 6 (contamination).
Pending
80208/APP/2026/2301
Loft extension including constructing a rear dormer, hip to gable and insertion of roof light in the front slope of the pitched roof (Application for a Certificate of Lawful Development for a Proposed Development)
Approved

View Planning Timeline