Flat 12, The Gables, 18 Cranford Avenue, Exmouth, EX8 2HU

UPRN:100040166899Flat/MaisonetteBeds -Built 1967-1975

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: D (67)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· freshEPC· 3mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· freshAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

Flat 12, The Gables, 18 Cranford Avenue, Exmouth, EX8 2HU

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

today

Verdict: AVOID, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Significant risk factors

Evidence

20 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£227,000

£204k - £250kMedium

Estimate

£227k

Range

£204k – £250k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,150

£1k - £1k

Monthly

£1,150

Yield

8.12%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Flat 12 earns an AVOID rating with HP Score 70/100. Investment score 59/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is limited (50/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

70/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

59/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

23/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

50/ 100

Moderate

Transit & Bike

Transit 19Bike 50

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesLead to verifyListing checked 11 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: the estimate sits 25% above the ask; lead to verify: leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress test assumes GBP 0. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +25.1% (MEDIUM)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 9 Nov 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100040166899· as of 9 Nov 2026
Rental economics23.4/40
gross yield 8.1%; range width penalty ×0.94; the estimate this rent rides on sits 25% above the ask - check the rent describes the advertised home
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1150/mo (range 1100-1250)· as of 9 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
- valuation_snapshotssale estimate 25% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home· as of 9 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
- listing_factslisting text signals condition works - budget before trusting any yield· as of 11 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -2/mo, -0% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing; leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress assumes GBP 0
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 11 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 153 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 11 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.8/15
439 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£127,500£195,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£170,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,150/mo

Evidenced range £1,100-£1,250

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £53,200
Net cash flow: £222/mo
Cash on cash: 5.0%
Score at this price: 36

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 2.00 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100040166899Valuation edge · as of 9 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1150/mo (range 1100-1250)Rental economics · as of 9 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
valuation_snapshotssale estimate 25% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this homeRental economics · as of 9 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factslisting text signals condition works - budget before trusting any yieldRental economics · as of 11 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1150/mo (range 1100-1250)
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
sale estimate 25% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The market estimate this rent rides on sits far above the asking price, so the rent may describe a different home.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£227,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,150

Gross Yield8.12%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-1.5%

5y Growth+1.9%

10y Growth+3.4%

Last Sold Price£57,000 (2000-02-21)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseBelow 40 dB

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0EX8 2HU

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/2260/DOC
Discharge of condition for 26/0830/FUL: Condition 3 (Materials)
Pending
26/2102/FUL
Relocation and alterations to the approved garage, including enlargement and revised roof form
Pending
26/2053/PIP
Permission in principle for 1no. new dwelling
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership68.2%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining42 yrs
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeLeasehold
Last Ownership Change2000-02-21
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

13 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£32,154

Population Density1,289 /km²

Owner Occupied86%

Age Distribution

0-15 5%16-64 36%65+ 59%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

St Joseph's Catholic Primary School, Exmouth
0.5 mi
Good
Royal Deaf Education Trust
0.6 mi
-
Royal Deaf Education Trust
0.6 mi
Good
Marpool Primary School
0.7 mi
Inspected as Marpool Primary School (URN 113096) on 27 Jun 2023

2 of 12 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

The Coach House, 21 Cranford Avenue
-
£465k
-
20 Cranford Avenue
-
£670k
-
21B Cranford Avenue
-
£283k
-
18 Cranford Avenue
-
£220k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN