19 Nelson Road, Exeter, EX4 1BG

UPRN:100040225348Mid Terrace House3 bedsBuilt 1900-1929

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band BEPC: C (70)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· freshEPC· 1mo agoRisk· 5mo agoCrime· freshConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 1mo ago

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

2 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£284,000

£256k - £312kMedium

Estimate

£284k

Range

£256k – £312k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,550

£1k - £2k

Monthly

£1,550

Yield

8.09%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

19 Nelson Road earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 83/100. Investment score 63/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is excellent (93/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

83/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

63/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

12/ 100

Low

Walkability

93/ 100

Excellent

Transit & Bike

Transit 35Bike 65

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence1 independent sourceLead to verifyListing checked 10 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: the estimate sits 19% above the ask. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge2.5/15
claims [AVM +19.0% (MEDIUM), sold-comps +19.0%, £/sqft +18.9%] → measured edge +0.50pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 9 Nov 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100040225348· as of 9 Nov 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 6 comps, dispersion 17.4%· as of 6 Nov 2026
Rental economics21.7/40
gross yield 8.1%; range width penalty ×0.88; the estimate this rent rides on sits 19% above the ask - check the rent describes the advertised home
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1550/mo (range 1400-1650)· as of 9 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
- valuation_snapshotssale estimate 19% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home· as of 9 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
- listing_factslisting text signals condition works - budget before trusting any yield· as of 10 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin2.5/30
stressed cash flow +39/mo, +3% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); passes the stress
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 10 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 52 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 10 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.9/15
457 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£172,500£264,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£230,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,550/mo

Evidenced range £1,400-£1,650

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £72,400
Net cash flow: £297/mo
Cash on cash: 4.9%
Score at this price: 40

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 2.00 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100040225348Valuation edge · as of 9 Nov 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 6 comps, dispersion 17.4%Valuation edge · as of 6 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1550/mo (range 1400-1650)Rental economics · as of 9 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
valuation_snapshotssale estimate 19% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this homeRental economics · as of 9 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factslisting text signals condition works - budget before trusting any yield

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1550/mo (range 1400-1650)
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
sale estimate 19% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The market estimate this rent rides on sits far above the asking price, so the rent may describe a different home.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£284,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,550

Gross Yield8.09%

1y Growth+8.9%

3y Growth-1.2%

5y Growth+1.8%

10y Growth+2.9%

Last Sold Price£64,950 (2000-07-14)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonLow
MiningLow
LandslideModerate
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0EX4 1BG

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/1671/DIS
Discharge of conditions 5 (bin and cycle storage), 6 (archaeological written scheme of investigation), 8 (replacement window details) and 9 (rear fence and access bridge details) of application 25/0140/FUL.
Pending
26/1665/LPD
Change of use from a dwelling (C3 use) to a children's care home (C2 use), providing full-time residential care and accommodation for a maximum of one child (aged 8-17 years). Care and supervision will be provided 24 hours a day, seven days a week, by a small team of suitably qualified, non-resident staff working on a rota basis. The property will operate as the child's principal home, retaining its existing domestic layout, residential character and appearance. No building works, extensions, external alterations, machinery installations or changes to the existing access and parking arrangements are proposed. The proposed use will operate continuously, with staffing arrangements and shift changes varying according to the individual care requirements of the child. Please read the accompanying Statement of Purpose in conjunction with the Planning Statement, which provide further details of the proposed operation, care arrangements and planning considerations.
Pending
26/1577/PD
Single storey rear extension 4.35m to rear of the original dwelling maximum 2.955m in height materials to match existing dwelling
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership60.1%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2000-07-14
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

7 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£29,531

Population Density8,450 /km²

Owner Occupied69%

Age Distribution

0-15 16%16-64 70%65+ 14%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Montgomery Primary School
0.0 mi
Area grades2025
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
Belong School Devon
0.1 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
West Exe Nursery School - Exeter Nursery Schools Federation
0.2 mi
Outstanding
Torlands Academy
0.3 mi
Good

2 of 8 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

16 Nelson Road
-
£285k
-
20 Nelson Road
-
£308k
-
10 Nelson Road
-
£272k
-
16 Nelson Road
-
£306k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN