33 Arnold Crescent, Tiverton, EX16 5PJ

UPRN:100040360561Mid Terrace House3 bedsBuilt 1976-1982

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band BEPC: C (75)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· 1mo agoEPC· 1mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 4mo ago

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

today

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

17 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£205,000

£195k - £215kHigh

Estimate

£205k

Range

£195k – £215k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£900

£850 - £1k

Monthly

£900

Yield

4.32%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

33 Arnold Crescent earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 63/100. Investment score 64/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is limited (28/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

63/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

64/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

28/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

28/ 100

Low

Transit & Bike

Transit 10Bike 29

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 4 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge-1.6/15
claims [AVM -22.0% (HIGH)] → measured edge -0.33pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp; asking more than 10% above the estimate (measured -0.33pp)
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Nov 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100040360561· as of 9 Nov 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.3%; range width penalty ×0.87
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 900/mo (range 850-1000)· as of 9 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -523/mo, -58% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 4 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 63 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 4 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.7/15
349 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£187,500£287,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£250,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£900/mo

Evidenced range £850-£1,000

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £78,800
Net cash flow: -£221/mo
Cash on cash: -3.4%
Score at this price: 13

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.07 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100040360561Valuation edge · as of 9 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 900/mo (range 850-1000)Rental economics · as of 9 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 4 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 4 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 900/mo (range 850-1000)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 63 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£205,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£900

Gross Yield4.32%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-4.0%

5y Growth-1.4%

10y Growth+2.9%

Last Sold Price£132,000 (2020-03-13)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonModerate
MiningLow
LandslideModerate
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0EX16 5PJ

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/01293/HOUSE
Erection of single storey rear extension
Pending
26/01042/HOUSE
Erection of detached garage
Approved
26/00978/LBCDOC
Details pursuant to the discharge of condition 6(b) of Listed Building Consent 24/01572/LBC relating to the submission of 1:5 drawings of new internal doors and architraves
Conditions

View Planning Timeline