15 Carlton Court, 428 Christchurch Road, Bournemouth, BH1 4AY

UPRN:100040726396Purpose Built Flat2 bedsBuilt 1900-1929

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band AEPC: E (50)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· freshEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoCrime· freshConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 1mo ago

15 Carlton Court, 428 Christchurch Road, Bournemouth, BH1 4AY

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

2 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£102,000

£97k - £107kHigh

Estimate

£102k

Range

£97k – £107k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£500

£500 - £550

Monthly

£500

Yield

6.32%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

15 Carlton Court earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 68/100. Investment score 58/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is moderate. Walkability is good (76/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

68/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

58/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

39/ 100

Elevated

Walkability

76/ 100

High

Transit & Bike

Transit 31Bike 67

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 13 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +6.9% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Nov 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100040726396· as of 9 Nov 2026
Rental economics10.5/40
gross yield 6.3%; range width penalty ×1.00
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 500/mo (range 500-550)· as of 9 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -163/mo, -33% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 13 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 5 price cut(s), 402 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 13 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.7/15
261 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£71,000£109,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£95,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£500/mo

Evidenced range £500-£550

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £29,800
Net cash flow: £26/mo
Cash on cash: 1.0%
Score at this price: 25

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.56 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100040726396Valuation edge · as of 9 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 500/mo (range 500-550)Rental economics · as of 9 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 13 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 13 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 500/mo (range 500-550)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 5 price cut(s), 402 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
5 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
4. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£102,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£500

Gross Yield6.32%

1y Growth+32.5%

3y Growth-3.1%

5y Growth-0.3%

10y Growth+2.8%

Last Sold Price£38,000 (2001-01-12)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0BH1 4AY

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

P/26/05513/TTPO
T1 - crown raise the Beech Tree to 4m clearance and remove deadwood
Pending
P/26/05466/TTPO
T1 Chestnut tree - the proposed work we want to carry out is reduce in height by 10-15ft back to the old points where it has been down before.
Pending
P/26/05441/REG14
1 x Scots Pine – Dead – Fell
Approved

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership47.9%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining62 yrs
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeLeasehold
Last Ownership Change2001-01-12
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (-)

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£31,848

Population Density11,909 /km²

Owner Occupied27%

Age Distribution

0-15 15%16-64 76%65+ 9%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Bethany Church of England Junior School
0.2 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
St Clement's and St John's Church of England Infant School
0.3 mi
Good
King's Park Academy
0.6 mi
Good
Malmesbury Park Primary School
0.7 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.

3 of 9 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

Caledonian Court, 446 Christchurch Road
-
£75k
-
Carlton Court, 428 Christchurch Road
-
£155k
-
Carlton Court, 428 Christchurch Road
-
£98k
-
Caledonian Court, 446 Christchurch Road
-
£110k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN