Erw Fach, Peniel, Carmarthen, SA32 7AB

UPRN:10004866440Detached Bungalow4 bedsBuilt 1976-1982

FreeholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: D (63)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 4mo agoRisk· 2y agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

2 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

16 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£499,000

£474k - £524kHigh

Estimate

£499k

Range

£474k – £524k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,600

£1k - £2k

Monthly

£1,600

Yield

3.84%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Erw Fach earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 78/100. Investment score 60/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)ONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

78/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

60/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

10/ 100

Low

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 5 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -0.2% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10004866440· as of 13 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 3.8%; range width penalty ×0.76
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1600/mo (range 1400-1750)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -1,063/mo, -66% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 5 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), unknown days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 5 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
61 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£375,000£575,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£499,950

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,600/mo

Evidenced range £1,400-£1,750

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £166,283
Net cash flow: -£580/mo
Cash on cash: -4.2%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 0.95 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10004866440Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1600/mo (range 1400-1750)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 5 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 5 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1600/mo (range 1400-1750)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), unknown days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£499,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,600

Gross Yield3.84%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-1.7%

5y Growth+0.0%

10y Growth+3.5%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonModerate
MiningLow
LandslideModerate
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0SA32 7AB

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

PL/11068
Replace 3 kerbs on north side of the existing entrance in order to allow clear / easier access to the property and resurface the existing tarmac pavement
Approved
PL/10702
Proposed relocation of an indoor fitness facility and associated new access, parking area, landscaping and drainage
Pending
PL/09142
Proposed passivhaus dwelling and associated works to include:- Part demolition of outbuildings and refurbishment, proposed gym/snooker building, installation of domestic solar array, foul and surface drainage designs and installation of new vehicular access
Pending

View Planning Timeline