Brithdir, Maesycrugiau, Pencader, SA39 9DH

UPRN:10004872822Detached House6 bedsBuilt before 1900

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band EEPC: D (57)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 3mo agoEPC· 3mo agoRisk· 2y agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

Brithdir, Maesycrugiau, Pencader, SA39 9DH

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

4 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

17 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£472,000

£449k - £496kHigh

Estimate

£472k

Range

£449k – £496k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,000

£850 - £1k

Monthly

£1,000

Yield

2.53%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Brithdir earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 79/100. Investment score 67/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

79/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

67/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

7/ 100

Low

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 4 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -0.6% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10004872822· as of 13 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 2.5%; range width penalty ×0.60
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1000/mo (range 850-1150)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -1,399/mo, -140% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 4 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 120 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 4 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
26 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£356,000£546,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£475,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,000/mo

Evidenced range £850-£1,150

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £157,550
Net cash flow: -£911/mo
Cash on cash: -6.9%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 0.62 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10004872822Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1000/mo (range 850-1150)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 4 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 4 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1000/mo (range 850-1150)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 120 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£472,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,000

Gross Yield2.53%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-2.3%

5y Growth+2.9%

10y Growth+2.6%

Last Sold Price£275,550 (2016-12-07)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonModerate
MiningLow
LandslideModerate
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0SA39 9DH

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

PL/09736
Proposed replacement of sub-standard single storey utility area with single storey extension to house boot room, shower room and family area
Approved
PL/09538
Existing bungalow and adjacent small shed
Approved
PL/08842
Extension to dwelling and garage
Approved

View Planning Timeline