Flat 15, Nickmar Court, 137–139 New Bedford Road, Luton, LU3 1LF

UPRN:10004924324Converted Flat1 bedsBuilt 1930-1949

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band AEPC: D (55)

Data freshness:Planning· 4mo agoOwnership· 1mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

Flat 15, Nickmar Court, 137–139 New Bedford Road, Luton, LU3 1LF

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

7 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

20 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£162,000

£154k - £170kHigh

Estimate

£162k

Range

£154k – £170k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£750

£700 - £850

Monthly

£750

Yield

6.00%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Flat 15 earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 84/100. Investment score 68/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is excellent (97/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

84/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

68/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

18/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

97/ 100

Excellent

Transit & Bike

Transit 23Bike 62

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence1 independent sourceLead to verifyListing checked 2 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress test assumes GBP 0. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge2.5/15
claims [AVM +7.4% (HIGH), sold-comps +29.9%, £/sqft +30.0%] → measured edge +0.50pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Nov 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10004924324· as of 9 Nov 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 11 comps, dispersion 16.4%· as of 29 Oct 2026
Rental economics6.4/40
gross yield 6.0%; range width penalty ×0.80
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 750/mo (range 700-850)· as of 9 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -212/mo, -28% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing; leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress assumes GBP 0
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 2 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 33 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 2 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.7/15
400 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£112,500£172,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£150,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£750/mo

Evidenced range £700-£850

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £46,800
Net cash flow: £13/mo
Cash on cash: 0.3%
Score at this price: 24

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.48 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10004924324Valuation edge · as of 9 Nov 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 11 comps, dispersion 16.4%Valuation edge · as of 29 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 750/mo (range 700-850)Rental economics · as of 9 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 2 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 2 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 750/mo (range 700-850)
Stress margin needs verification before you rely on it
costs not disclosed by the advert

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£162,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£750

Gross Yield6.00%

1y Growth+11.9%

3y Growth+2.7%

5y Growth+3.9%

10y Growth+4.0%

Last Sold Price£145,000 (2017-09-15)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonLow
MiningLow
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0LU3 1LF

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/01122/LAWPFT
Erection of single-storey domestic outbuilding, rear boundary fencing and sliding access gate - FAST TRACK
Pending
26/01097/TPOS
Works to Trees: 2 x Lime trees - Lime (T1) - Re-pollard back to previous pollard points -reduce height and spread by approx. 3-4m, Shorten back lateral branches approx. 1.5-2m clearance from the house and gutters. Lime (T2) -Re-pollard back to previous pollard points - reduce height and spread by approx. 3-4m. Shorten back branches over the garage to give approx. 1.5-2m clearance from garage roof and gutters.
Pending
26/01074/TPOS
Works to Trees: T1 Ash - Reduce canopy by 3m, T2 Sycamore - Reduce lateral limbs back to trunk leaving upright stems , T3 Sycamore - Reduce lateral limbs back to trunk leaving upright stems to remove risk of falling limbs.
Pending

View Planning Timeline