5 Ash Close, Colden Common, Winchester, SO21 1AL

UPRN:100060596802Mid Terrace House2 bedsBuilt 1996-2002

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band CEPC: C (78)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 4mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

5 Ash Close, Colden Common, Winchester, SO21 1AL

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£305,000

£290k - £321kHigh

Estimate

£305k

Range

£290k – £321k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,150

£1k - £1k

Monthly

£1,150

Yield

4.76%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

5 Ash Close earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 70/100. Investment score 61/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is limited (35/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

70/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

61/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

17/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

35/ 100

Mixed

Transit & Bike

Transit 24Bike 49

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence1 independent sourceListing checked 5 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge2.5/15
claims [AVM +4.9% (HIGH), sold-comps +11.3%, £/sqft +11.3%] → measured edge +0.50pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100060596802· as of 9 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 15.2%· as of 30 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.8%; range width penalty ×0.77
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1150/mo (range 1000-1250)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -508/mo, -44% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 5 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 50 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 5 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
161 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£217,500£333,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£289,950

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,150/mo

Evidenced range £1,000-£1,250

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £92,783
Net cash flow: -£182/mo
Cash on cash: -2.4%
Score at this price: 17

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.18 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100060596802Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 15.2%Valuation edge · as of 30 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1150/mo (range 1000-1250)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 5 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 5 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1150/mo (range 1000-1250)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 50 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£305,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,150

Gross Yield4.76%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-2.4%

5y Growth+0.0%

10y Growth+2.3%

Last Sold Price£271,000 (2021-08-27)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonModerate
MiningModerate
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0SO21 1AL

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/02223/NMA
NMA to 26/00049/FUL to correct approved plans listed in condition 2
Approved
26/02119/HOU
Proposed rear extension and roof conversion
Pending
26/02086/TPO
(Land At Church Pond, Colden Common 1T Off St Vigor Way (On Right Of Way Footpath 501) T1 - Oak Tree - Tagged 398 It is a multi stem which is leaning low over a neighbouring properties fence line. Where is comes from the base of the main truck it has a hairline crack. We wish to cut off this limb just before the neighbouring fence to take the weight of the limb and using the removed wood, prop up the rest of the limb. T2 - Ash Tree - Tagged 400 This tree has advanced Ash Die back and we wish to pollard it just above the limb which goes left as this has various habitat holes and a hornets nest. Reducing to this height will reduce the risk Both trees are right next to right of way 501. Tree T1 limb is overhanging a garden.
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership64.4%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2021-08-27
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

4 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£38,352

Population Density492 /km²

Owner Occupied64%

Age Distribution

0-15 20%16-64 59%65+ 21%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Colden Common Primary School
0.1 mi
Good
Otterbourne Church of England Primary School
1.5 mi
Area grades2025
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
Twyford St Mary's Church of England Primary School
1.5 mi
-
Shepherds Down Special School
1.8 mi
Good

4 of 9 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

20 Ash Close
-
£394k
-
5 Ash Close
-
£271k
-
8 Ash Close
-
£262k
-
20 Ash Close
-
£345k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN