18 Arbrook Lane, Esher, KT10 9EE

UPRN:100061313487Semi-Detached House2 bedsBuilt 1930-1949

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band EEPC: D (62)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 4mo ago

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

3 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£788,000

£749k - £827kHigh

Estimate

£788k

Range

£749k – £827k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£2,900

£3k - £3k

Monthly

£2,900

Yield

4.35%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

18 Arbrook Lane earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 67/100. Investment score 58/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is limited (38/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

67/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

58/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

30/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

38/ 100

Mixed

Transit & Bike

Transit 13Bike 36

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 30 Oct 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -1.5% (HIGH), sold-comps -49.3%, £/sqft -49.3%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100061313487· as of 9 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 9 comps, dispersion 15.7%· as of 19 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.3%; range width penalty ×0.75
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2900/mo (range 2550-3200)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -1,374/mo, -47% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 30 Oct 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 304 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 30 Oct 2026
Risk & liquidity14.7/15
218 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£600,000£920,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£800,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£2,900/mo

Evidenced range £2,550-£3,200

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £271,300
Net cash flow: -£692/mo
Cash on cash: -3.1%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.07 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100061313487Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 9 comps, dispersion 15.7%Valuation edge · as of 19 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2900/mo (range 2550-3200)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 30 Oct 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 30 Oct 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 2900/mo (range 2550-3200)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 304 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£788,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£2,900

Gross Yield4.35%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-5.4%

5y Growth+1.5%

10y Growth+1.1%

Last Sold Price£595,000 (2022-02-04)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0KT10 9EE

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

2026/2223
Construction of two pairs of two-storey semi-detached houses with rooms in the roofspace, associated landscaping, car parking, cycle and bin storage and heat pumps following demolition of the existing detached house, detached garage and associated buildings.
Pending
2026/2189
EL:94/22 - 1. Oak front LHS by ramp to car park - Crown Reduction. Reducing the height and spread of the tree by up to 1-2 metres. Reduce the SE limb by 2-3 metres, remove major deadwood and remove the disfunctional scaffold to source. All pruning cuts shall be made to suitable secondary growth points and shall maintain a stable platform for the expected regrowth 2. Oak front boundary - The upright leaders of the primary scaffold at 10m to the south, adjacent to the apartment block should be reduced by 5m/ 50% to leave a remaining upright length of approximately 4 to 5m. Pruning back to suitable growth points. The remaining previously reduced branches
Pending
2026/2156
Confirmation of Compliance with Condition: 5 (Details to be submitted) of planning permission 2025/0121.
Pending

View Planning Timeline