19 Forge Drive, Claygate, Esher, KT10 0HR

UPRN:100061315671Detached House4 bedsBuilt 1967-1975

Tenure: -Council Tax: Band FEPC: D (60)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 3mo agoOwnership· freshEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· freshAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

19 Forge Drive, Claygate, Esher, KT10 0HR

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

today

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

17 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£1,209,000

£1.09M - £1.33MMedium

Estimate

£1.21M

Range

£1.09M – £1.33M

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£4,250

£4k - £5k

Monthly

£4,250

Yield

4.74%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

19 Forge Drive earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 77/100. Investment score 63/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (53/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)Defra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

77/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

63/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

8/ 100

Low

Walkability

53/ 100

Moderate

Transit & Bike

Transit 6Bike 34

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 2 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +11.1% (MEDIUM)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100061315671· as of 12 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.7%; range width penalty ×0.73
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 4250/mo (range 3750-4750)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -1,541/mo, -36% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 2 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 60 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 2 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.8/15
218 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£806,000£1,236,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£1,075,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£4,250/mo

Evidenced range £3,750-£4,750

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £375,050
Net cash flow: -£686/mo
Cash on cash: -2.2%
Score at this price: 13

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.17 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 100061315671Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 4250/mo (range 3750-4750)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 2 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 2 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 4250/mo (range 3750-4750)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 60 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£1,209,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£4,250

Gross Yield4.74%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-5.4%

5y Growth+1.5%

10y Growth+1.1%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0KT10 0HR

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

2026/2239
Hip-to-gable roof extension with rear dormer window to provide rooms in the roofspace, two-storey front extension, front and rear rooflights and alterations to external finish.
Pending
2026/2230
Hip-to-gable roof extension with rear dormer to provide rooms in the roofspace with front rooflights.
Approved
2026/2191
Part two/part single-storey side/rear extension, two storey front porch extension, hip-to-gable roof extension with rear dormer to provide rooms in the roofspace, front rooflights and alterations to fenestration and external finishes following removal of chimney stacks and partial demolition of existing house.
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership59%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease Type-
Last Ownership Change-
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

13 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£42,607

Population Density-

Owner Occupied93%

Age Distribution

0-15 21%16-64 57%65+ 22%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Rowan Preparatory School
0.4 mi
Inspected by ISI
Claygate Primary School
0.4 mi
Good
Lovelace Primary School
0.8 mi
Area grades2024
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
Milbourne Lodge School
1.0 mi
Inspected by ISI

3 of 9 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

28 Forge Drive
-
£1.29M
-
10 Forge Drive
-
£925k
-
30 Forge Drive
-
£1.31M
-
7 Forge Drive
-
£877k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN